Putting Up Numbers· college football

Texas A&M @ LSU

Sat, Sep 26, 2026 · No. 23 at No. 10

LSU 35, Texas A&M 6LSU was favored by 8.5, and LSU covered.

Texas A&M at LSU: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameTexas A&M1 gameLSU1 game
Points−13.4+11.6
Points allowed−0.9−19.7
Total offense, yards−108+157
Total defense, yards+36−148
Touchdowns−2.1+2.2
Passer rating−70.8+33.2
Third downs−9.6%−3.2%
Sacks−2.0+2.1
Penalty yards−11.5−20.2
Turnovers forced−0.2+0.8
Turnovers lost+0.8−0.3

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

LSU

Texas A&M

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

LSU

  • LSU had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • LSU was 5.5 points a game over the closing line this season, 43rd of 135.fact · rankedits form →+20.5 against the line this game.

Texas A&M

  • Texas A&M was 1.0 points a game under the closing line this season, 88th of 135.fact · rankedits form →−20.5 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • LSU had failed to cover 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Against a ranked opponent, LSU’s passing yards were 149.1 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 67.1 over expected.
  • At home, LSU’s total yards were 160.1 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 93.6 over expected.
  • Texas A&M had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • In a conference game, Texas A&M’s pass attempts were 17.4 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.0 under expected.
  • At night, Texas A&M’s points allowed were 13.7 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.0 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 26, 2026at LSULSU 35, Texas A&M 6
Oct 25, 2025at LSUTexas A&M 49, LSU 25
Oct 26, 2024at Texas A&MTexas A&M 38, LSU 23
Nov 25, 2023at LSULSU 42, Texas A&M 30
Nov 26, 2022at Texas A&MTexas A&M 38, LSU 23
Nov 27, 2021at LSULSU 27, Texas A&M 24
Nov 28, 2020at Texas A&MTexas A&M 20, LSU 7
Nov 30, 2019at LSULSU 50, Texas A&M 7
Nov 24, 2018at Texas A&MTexas A&M 74, LSU 72
Nov 25, 2017at LSULSU 45, Texas A&M 21

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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