South Carolina @ Alabama

Sat, Sep 26, 2026 · Unranked at No. 8

Alabama 49, South Carolina 18Alabama was favored by 12.5, and Alabama covered.

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Alabama had beaten 9 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 10.
Alabama had won 6 straight on the road.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
Alabama was 8.2 points a game over the closing line this season, 21st of 135.fact · rankedits form →+18.5 against the line this game.

South Carolina was 0.8 points a game over the closing line this season, 74th of 135, and 8.8 better away than at home over its last 25, 9th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−18.5 against the line this game.

Alabama leads the series 14–4 since 1937. Alabama has won the last 4.seriesevery meeting →

Alabama had won 9 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
Alabama had covered 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
Alabama had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
In a conference game, Alabama’s pass attempts were 11.9 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.3 under expected.
At home, Alabama’s total yards were 84.8 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 97.9 over expected.
South Carolina had covered 8 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
South Carolina had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
In a conference game, South Carolina’s penalty yards were 38.7 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.8 over expected.

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
A game with no box score sits out.