Putting Up Numbers· college football

James Madison @ Old Dominion

Sat, Sep 26, 2026

James Madison 46, Old Dominion 20James Madison was favored by 7, and James Madison covered.

James Madison at Old Dominion: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameJames Madison1 gameOld Dominion1 game
Points+21.1−4.9
Points allowed−0.1+16.0
Total offense, yards+56−152
Total defense, yards−67+6
Touchdowns+2.5−0.9
Passer rating−0.7−23.6
Third downs−2.4%−15.0%
Sacks+5.8−0.7
Penalty yards+14.5+38.5
Turnovers forced+0.8−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.2+0.8

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Old Dominion

James Madison

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Old Dominion

  • Old Dominion was 10.3 points a game under the closing line this season, 127th of 135.fact · rankedits form →−19.0 against the line this game.

James Madison

  • James Madison had beaten 14 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 15.
  • James Madison had covered 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • James Madison had won 9 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • James Madison was 18.2 points a game over the closing line this season, 3rd of 135.fact · rankedits form →+19.0 against the line this game.

The series

  • James Madison leads the series 5–0 since 2022. James Madison has won the last 5.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Old Dominion had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • Old Dominion had won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • At home, Old Dominion’s penalty yards were 37.6 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 38.1 over expected.
  • James Madison had won 9 of its last 10.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
  • James Madison had won 7 of its last 10 by 10 or more.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • James Madison had won 7 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • On the road, James Madison’s third-down conversion rate were 13.5% under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.8% under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 26, 2026at Old DominionJames Madison 46, Old Dominion 20
Oct 18, 2025at James MadisonJames Madison 63, Old Dominion 27
Nov 16, 2024at Old DominionJames Madison 35, Old Dominion 32
Oct 28, 2023at James MadisonJames Madison 30, Old Dominion 27
Nov 12, 2022at Old DominionJames Madison 37, Old Dominion 3

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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