Blue Jackets @ Sabres

Fri, Nov 6

The odds have it Sabres 3.61, Blue Jackets 2.94.Expected goals from DraftKings’ moneyline and total on ESPN’s scoreboard, as of Nov 5. Odds move until kickoff.

Blue Jackets at Sabres: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a game	Blue Jackets13 games	Sabres15 games
	−0.39	−0.27
	−0.05	+0.23
	−1.3	+0.5
	−0.6	+0.3
	−0.22	−0.19
	+0.13	+0.36
	−1.3	+0.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the five biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Blue Jackets

The Blue Jackets' goals are 0.75 higher at home than away against expected over their last 165 games, 1st of 32 teams.fact · rankedthe split →

The series

The Blue Jackets lead the series 30–20–1 since 2000-01.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

Against a team at .500 or under, the Sabres' power-play goals are 1.30 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
At home, the Sabres' goals are 1.01 under expected in 7 games. 7 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
On the road, the Blue Jackets' shots are 4.2 under expected in 5 games. 5 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
Against a team over .500, the Blue Jackets' goals against are 1.02 under expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →

Every meeting

Date	Where	Score
Oct 1, 2026	at Blue Jackets	Blue Jackets 6, Sabres 3
Apr 9, 2026	at Sabres	Sabres 5, Blue Jackets 0
Jan 3, 2026	at Blue Jackets	Blue Jackets 5, Sabres 1
Oct 28, 2025	at Sabres	Blue Jackets 4, Sabres 3
Apr 10, 2025	at Blue Jackets	Blue Jackets 3, Sabres 2
Feb 4, 2025	at Sabres	Sabres 3, Blue Jackets 2
Oct 17, 2024	at Blue Jackets	Blue Jackets 6, Sabres 4
Feb 23, 2024	at Blue Jackets	Sabres 2, Blue Jackets 1
Dec 30, 2023	at Sabres	Sabres 3, Blue Jackets 2
Dec 19, 2023	at Sabres	Blue Jackets 9, Sabres 4

Method

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
Goals are the final score’s: a shootout gives its winner one goal, as the standings count it. Shots are shots on goal, and power-play goals allowed are the opponent’s.
A game with no box score sits out.