The Titans' points with Carnell Tate and since Carnell Tate’s last game
, ,
Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Titans were 6.7 points under with Carnell Tate and 15.7 points over since Carnell Tate’s last game in 2026, 7 games against 1. The plain averages are 15.4 and 36.0, a difference of 20.6. All 4 home games were with Carnell Tate. Both division games were with Carnell Tate. All 4 first-half games were with Carnell Tate.
Carnell Tate, receiver: 413 receiving yards, 34 receptions and 51 targets in 7 games this season.
One game since Carnell Tate’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points a game over expected
with Carnell Tate
−6.7
since Carnell Tate’s last game
+15.7
-10010
plain
15.4
36.0
102030
The games
with Carnell Tatesince Carnell Tate’s last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | vs NYJ | L | 10 | 22.4 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 | vs PHI | L | 20 | 21.9 | |
| Sep 27, 2026 | @ NYG | L | 7 | 22.7 | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | @ BAL | L | 18 | 21.8 | |
| Oct 11, 2026 | vs HOU | L | 3 | 22.5 | |
| Oct 18, 2026 | @ IND | W | 26 | 22.8 | |
| Oct 25, 2026 | vs CLE | L | 24 | 20.8 | |
| Nov 1, 2026 | @ CIN | L | 36 | 20.3 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.2 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 23% of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the snap counts, which name every player who took a snap on offense, defense or special teams.