The Titans' points of margin with Carnell Tate and since Carnell Tate’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Titans were 5.5 points under with Carnell Tate and 1.1 points under since Carnell Tate’s last game in 2026, 7 games against 1. The plain averages are -6.9 and -7.0, a difference of 0.1. Expected was 4.6 points higher with Carnell Tate than since Carnell Tate’s last game. All 4 home games were with Carnell Tate. Both division games were with Carnell Tate. All 4 first-half games were with Carnell Tate.
Carnell Tate, receiver: 413 receiving yards, 34 receptions and 51 targets in 7 games this season.
One game since Carnell Tate’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points of margin a game over expected
with Carnell Tate
−5.5
since Carnell Tate’s last game
−1.1
-20-100
plain
-6.9
-7.0
-20-100
The games
with Carnell Tatesince Carnell Tate’s last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points of margin | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | vs NYJ | L | -13 | -1.4 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 | vs PHI | L | -4 | 0.2 | |
| Sep 27, 2026 | @ NYG | L | -5 | -1.9 | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | @ BAL | L | -6 | -1.6 | |
| Oct 11, 2026 | vs HOU | L | -23 | -1.0 | |
| Oct 18, 2026 | @ IND | W | 6 | -1.8 | |
| Oct 25, 2026 | vs CLE | L | -3 | -2.1 | |
| Nov 1, 2026 | @ CIN | L | -7 | -5.9 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.4 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 28% of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the snap counts, which name every player who took a snap on offense, defense or special teams.