The Titans' pass attempts with Carnell Tate and since Carnell Tate’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Titans were 2.5 pass attempts under with Carnell Tate and 6.2 pass attempts over since Carnell Tate’s last game over their last 35 games, 7 games against 1. The plain averages are 29.7 and 40.0, a difference of 10.3. All 4 home games were with Carnell Tate. Both division games were with Carnell Tate.
Carnell Tate, receiver: 413 receiving yards, 34 receptions and 51 targets in 7 of those 35 games.
One game since Carnell Tate’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
pass attempts a game over expected
with Carnell Tate
−2.5
since Carnell Tate’s last game
+6.2
-100
plain
29.7
40.0
2025303540
The games
with Carnell Tatesince Carnell Tate’s last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | pass attempts | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2024 | vs NE | W | 33 | 30.8 | |
| Nov 10, 2024 | @ LAC | L | 23 | 32.0 | |
| Nov 17, 2024 | vs MIN | L | 31 | 34.7 | |
| Nov 24, 2024 | @ HOU | W | 25 | 31.8 | |
| Dec 1, 2024 | @ WAS | L | 37 | 29.2 | |
| Dec 8, 2024 | vs JAX | L | 32 | 32.9 | |
| Dec 15, 2024 | vs CIN | L | 38 | 32.3 | |
| Dec 22, 2024 | @ IND | L | 34 | 31.1 | |
| Dec 29, 2024 | @JAX | L | 31 | 32.4 | |
| Jan 5, 2025 | vsHOU | L | 26 | 32.3 | |
| Sep 7, 2025 | @ DEN | L | 28 | 34.4 | |
| Sep 14, 2025 | vs LA | L | 33 | 34.7 | |
| Sep 21, 2025 | vsIND | L | 38 | 34.8 | |
| Sep 28, 2025 | @HOU | L | 26 | 32.4 | |
| Oct 5, 2025 | @ ARI | W | 39 | 32.6 | |
| Oct 12, 2025 | @ LV | L | 38 | 30.5 | |
| Oct 19, 2025 | vsNE | L | 34 | 32.9 | |
| Oct 26, 2025 | @IND | L | 38 | 34.7 | |
| Nov 2, 2025 | vsLAC | L | 21 | 31.8 | |
| Nov 16, 2025 | vsHOU | L | 37 | 31.7 | |
| Nov 23, 2025 | vs SEA | L | 42 | 33.6 | |
| Nov 30, 2025 | vsJAX | L | 38 | 35.1 | |
| Dec 7, 2025 | @ CLE | W | 28 | 31.3 | |
| Dec 14, 2025 | @ SF | L | 29 | 33.4 | |
| Dec 21, 2025 | vs KC | W | 28 | 31.4 | |
| Dec 28, 2025 | vs NO | L | 40 | 30.0 | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | @JAX | L | 33 | 35.4 | |
| Sep 13, 2026 | vs NYJ | L | 32 | 31.1 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 | vs PHI | L | 20 | 33.7 | |
| Sep 27, 2026 | @ NYG | L | 36 | 29.3 | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | @ BAL | L | 31 | 32.3 | |
| Oct 11, 2026 | vsHOU | L | 36 | 33.0 | |
| Oct 18, 2026 | @IND | W | 22 | 32.3 | |
| Oct 25, 2026 | vsCLE | L | 31 | 33.5 | |
| Nov 1, 2026 | @CIN | L | 40 | 33.8 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 34% of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the snap counts, which name every player who took a snap on offense, defense or special teams.
- 27 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Carnell Tate nor since Carnell Tate’s last game: Carnell Tate had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.