Putting Up Numbers· NFL

The Titans' pass attempts with Carnell Tate and since Carnell Tate’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Titans were 2.5 pass attempts under with Carnell Tate and 6.2 pass attempts over since Carnell Tate’s last game in 2026, 7 games against 1. The plain averages are 29.7 and 40.0, a difference of 10.3. All 4 home games were with Carnell Tate. Both division games were with Carnell Tate. All 4 first-half games were with Carnell Tate.

Carnell Tate, receiver: 413 receiving yards, 34 receptions and 51 targets in 7 games this season.

One game since Carnell Tate’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

pass attempts a game over expected

The games

with Carnell Tatesince Carnell Tate’s last game
Tennessee Titans’ games, 2026, each marked with Carnell Tate or since Carnell Tate’s last game
SideDateGameResultpass attemptsExpected
Sep 13, 2026vsNYJL3231.1
Sep 20, 2026vsPHIL2033.7
Sep 27, 2026@NYGL3629.3
Oct 4, 2026@BALL3132.3
Oct 11, 2026vsHOUL3633.0
Oct 18, 2026@INDW2232.3
Oct 25, 2026vsCLEL3133.5
Nov 1, 2026@CINL4033.8

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 34% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Who played is read from the snap counts, which name every player who took a snap on offense, defense or special teams.