The Texans' passing yards with Tank Dell and without Tank Dell
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Texans were 72.6 yards under with Tank Dell and 35.0 yards over without Tank Dell in 2026, 1 game against 6. The plain averages are 153.0 and 285.7, a difference of 132.7. Both away games were without Tank Dell. All 3 division games were without Tank Dell. All 3 first-half games were without Tank Dell.
Tank Dell, receiver: 43 receiving yards, 1 reception and 1 target in 1 game this season.
One game with Tank Dell is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
passing yards a game over expected
with Tank Dell
−72.6
without Tank Dell
+35.0
-50050100
plain
153.0
285.7
200250300350
The games
with Tank Dellwithout Tank Dell
| Side | Date | Game | Result | passing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | vs BUF | L | 274 | 243.3 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 | vs CIN | L | 353 | 255.5 | |
| Sep 27, 2026 | @ IND | L | 167 | 251.0 | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | vs DAL | L | 347 | 237.5 | |
| Oct 11, 2026 | @ TEN | W | 261 | 265.2 | |
| Oct 18, 2026 | vs JAX (neutral) | W | 312 | 251.5 | |
| Oct 25, 2026 | vs NYG | L | 153 | 225.6 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.5 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 40% of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the snap counts, which name every player who took a snap on offense, defense or special teams.