The Seahawks' points with Jadarian Price and without Jadarian Price
, ,
Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Seahawks were 0.5 points under with Jadarian Price and 0.6 points over without Jadarian Price over their last 35 games, 4 games against 4. The plain averages are 23.0 and 23.3, a difference of 0.3. Expected was 0.8 points higher with Jadarian Price than without Jadarian Price.
Jadarian Price, running back: 148 rushing yards, 38 carries and 6 receptions in 4 of those 35 games.
points a game over expected
with Jadarian Price
−0.5
without Jadarian Price
+0.6
-505
A −1.1 difference in points over expected with Jadarian Price vs without Jadarian Price is about what you’d expect.
plain
23.0
23.3
15202530
A −0.3 difference in points with Jadarian Price vs without Jadarian Price is about what you’d expect.
The games
with Jadarian Pricewithout Jadarian Price
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2024 | vs ARI | W | 16 | 23.1 | |
| Dec 1, 2024 | @ NYJ | W | 26 | 22.9 | |
| Dec 8, 2024 | @ARI | W | 30 | 20.5 | |
| Dec 15, 2024 | vs GB | L | 13 | 21.7 | |
| Dec 22, 2024 | vs MIN | L | 24 | 21.1 | |
| Dec 26, 2024 | @ CHI | W | 6 | 21.8 | |
| Jan 5, 2025 | @ LA | W | 30 | 20.4 | |
| Sep 7, 2025 | vs SF | L | 13 | 28.6 | |
| Sep 14, 2025 | @ PIT | W | 31 | 26.8 | |
| Sep 21, 2025 | vs NO | W | 44 | 27.0 | |
| Sep 25, 2025 | @ARI | W | 23 | 30.1 | |
| Oct 5, 2025 | vs TB | L | 35 | 29.2 | |
| Oct 12, 2025 | @ JAX | W | 20 | 25.3 | |
| Oct 20, 2025 | vs HOU | W | 27 | 23.4 | |
| Nov 2, 2025 | @ WAS | W | 38 | 29.2 | |
| Nov 9, 2025 | vsARI | W | 44 | 30.1 | |
| Nov 16, 2025 | @LA | L | 19 | 25.3 | |
| Nov 23, 2025 | @ TEN | W | 30 | 30.1 | |
| Nov 30, 2025 | vsMIN | W | 26 | 25.9 | |
| Dec 7, 2025 | @ ATL | W | 37 | 26.9 | |
| Dec 14, 2025 | vs IND | W | 18 | 30.6 | |
| Dec 18, 2025 | vsLA | W | 38 | 25.7 | |
| Dec 28, 2025 | @ CAR | W | 27 | 26.4 | |
| Jan 3, 2026 | @SF | W | 13 | 26.8 | |
| Jan 17, 2026 | vsSF | W | 41 | 26.6 | |
| Jan 25, 2026 | vsLA | W | 31 | 26.2 | |
| Feb 8, 2026 | vs NE (neutral) | W | 29 | 25.2 | |
| Sep 9, 2026 | vsNE | W | 13 | 22.4 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 | @ARI | W | 31 | 24.5 | |
| Sep 27, 2026 | @WAS | L | 31 | 23.9 | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | vs LAC | W | 30 | 22.7 | |
| Oct 11, 2026 | vsSF | L | 29 | 22.1 | |
| Oct 15, 2026 | @ DEN | L | 14 | 23.2 | |
| Oct 25, 2026 | vs KC | W | 20 | 22.7 | |
| Nov 2, 2026 | vsCHI | L | 17 | 23.2 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.2 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 23% of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Who played is read from the snap counts, which name every player who took a snap on offense, defense or special teams.
- 27 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Jadarian Price nor without Jadarian Price: Jadarian Price had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.