The Ravens' passing yards with Lamar Jackson and since Lamar Jackson’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Ravens were 30.1 yards over with Lamar Jackson and 43.4 yards under since Lamar Jackson’s last game in 2026, 4 games against 4. The plain averages are 257.5 and 188.8, a difference of 68.8. Both division games were since Lamar Jackson’s last game. All 4 first-half games were with Lamar Jackson. All 4 second-half games were since Lamar Jackson’s last game.
Lamar Jackson, quarterback: 967 passing yards, 97 pass attempts and 68 completions in 5 games this season, 86% of BAL’s passing yards in those games.
passing yards a game over expected
A +73.5 difference in passing yards over expected with Lamar Jackson vs since Lamar Jackson’s last game is about what you’d expect.
A +68.8 difference in passing yards with Lamar Jackson vs since Lamar Jackson’s last game is about what you’d expect.
The games
| Side | Date | Game | Result | passing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | @ IND | W | 324 | 206.1 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 | vs NO | L | 235 | 228.0 | |
| Sep 27, 2026 | vs DAL (neutral) | W | 186 | 235.8 | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | vs TEN | W | 285 | 239.7 | |
| Oct 11, 2026 | @ ATL | W | 201 | 218.9 | |
| Oct 18, 2026 | @ CLE | L | 165 | 224.8 | |
| Oct 25, 2026 | vs CIN | L | 298 | 240.0 | |
| Nov 1, 2026 | @ BUF | L | 91 | 244.8 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.5 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 40% of the difference the model predicts.
- The two sides are the games before and after one date, so the shuffle moves any game between them.
- Who played is read from the snap counts, which name every player who took a snap on offense, defense or special teams.
- With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.