The Rams' rushing yards with Davante Adams and since Davante Adams’ last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Rams were 4.1 yards under with Davante Adams and 47.1 yards over since Davante Adams’ last game in 2026, 6 games against 2. The plain averages are 112.7 and 164.0, a difference of 51.3. Both division games were with Davante Adams. All 4 first-half games were with Davante Adams.
Davante Adams, receiver: 480 receiving yards, 30 receptions and 49 targets in 6 games this season.
2 games since Davante Adams’ last game is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
rushing yards a game over expected
A −51.2 difference in rushing yards over expected with Davante Adams vs since Davante Adams’ last game is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were with Davante Adams and it comes up 14 times in 100.
A −51.3 difference in rushing yards with Davante Adams vs since Davante Adams’ last game is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were with Davante Adams and it comes up 11 times in 100.
The games
| Side | Date | Game | Result | rushing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | vs SF (neutral) | L | 122 | 100.8 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 | vs NYG | W | 163 | 122.8 | |
| Sep 27, 2026 | @ DEN | L | 116 | 118.0 | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | @ PHI | W | 106 | 123.3 | |
| Oct 12, 2026 | vs BUF | L | 77 | 114.8 | |
| Oct 18, 2026 | vs ARI | L | 92 | 120.9 | |
| Oct 25, 2026 | @ LV | W | 199 | 115.7 | |
| Nov 1, 2026 | vs LAC | W | 129 | 118.1 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.6 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 32% of the difference the model predicts.
- The two sides are the games before and after one date, so the shuffle moves any game between them.
- Who played is read from the snap counts, which name every player who took a snap on offense, defense or special teams.