The Rams' points allowed with Myles Garrett and since Myles Garrett’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Rams were 3.4 points over with Myles Garrett and 2.3 points under since Myles Garrett’s last game in 2026, 1 game against 7. The plain averages are 27.0 and 20.1, a difference of 6.9. All 4 home games were since Myles Garrett’s last game. All 3 away games were since Myles Garrett’s last game. All 6 games outside the division were since Myles Garrett’s last game.
Myles Garrett, defensive lineman: 0 games this season.
One game with Myles Garrett is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points allowed a game over expected
with Myles Garrett
+3.4
since Myles Garrett’s last game
−2.3
-10010
plain
27.0
20.1
102030
The games
with Myles Garrettsince Myles Garrett’s last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points allowed | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | vs SF (neutral) | L | 27 | 23.6 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 | vs NYG | W | 6 | 22.9 | |
| Sep 27, 2026 | @ DEN | L | 30 | 22.0 | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | @ PHI | W | 20 | 20.5 | |
| Oct 12, 2026 | vs BUF | L | 37 | 24.4 | |
| Oct 18, 2026 | vs ARI | L | 18 | 22.6 | |
| Oct 25, 2026 | @ LV | W | 21 | 24.2 | |
| Nov 1, 2026 | vs LAC | W | 9 | 20.5 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 0.2 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 23% of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the snap counts, which name every player who took a snap on offense, defense or special teams.