Putting Up Numbers· NFL

The Giants' sacks taken with Jaxson Dart and without Jaxson Dart

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Giants were 0.5 sacks over with Jaxson Dart and 0.1 sacks over without Jaxson Dart over their last 35 games, 13 games against 11. The plain averages are 3.1 and 2.6, a difference of 0.4.

Jaxson Dart, quarterback: 2,522 passing yards, 373 pass attempts and 242 completions in 16 of those 35 games, 79% of NYG’s sacks taken in those games.

sacks taken a game over expected

A +0.4 difference in sacks taken over expected with Jaxson Dart vs without Jaxson Dart is about what you’d expect.

A +0.4 difference in sacks taken with Jaxson Dart vs without Jaxson Dart is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were with Jaxson Dart and it comes up 20 times in 100.

The games

with Jaxson Dartwithout Jaxson Dart
New York Giants’ games, last 35 games, each marked with Jaxson Dart or without Jaxson Dart
SideDateGameResultsacks takenExpected
Oct 20, 2024vsPHIL82.5
Oct 28, 2024@PITL42.5
Nov 3, 2024vsWASL22.6
Nov 10, 2024vsCAR (neutral)L22.4
Nov 24, 2024vsTBL42.7
Nov 28, 2024@DALL62.7
Dec 8, 2024vsNOL22.6
Dec 15, 2024vsBALL32.9
Dec 22, 2024@ATLL32.2
Dec 29, 2024vsINDW02.5
Jan 5, 2025@PHIL03.0
Sep 7, 2025@WASL22.8
Sep 14, 2025@DALL32.3
Sep 21, 2025vsKCL22.3
Sep 28, 2025vsLACW62.5
Oct 5, 2025@NOL13.0
Oct 9, 2025vsPHIW22.7
Oct 19, 2025@DENL43.5
Oct 26, 2025@PHIL52.6
Nov 2, 2025vsSFL22.0
Nov 9, 2025@CHIL42.4
Nov 16, 2025vsGBL22.5
Nov 23, 2025@DETL13.3
Dec 1, 2025@NEL22.5
Dec 14, 2025vsWASL12.9
Dec 21, 2025vsMINL53.0
Dec 28, 2025@LVW22.5
Jan 4, 2026vsDALW42.2
Sep 13, 2026vsDALW22.3
Sep 21, 2026@LAL22.3
Sep 27, 2026vsTENW32.4
Oct 4, 2026vsARIW42.5
Oct 11, 2026@WAST22.5
Oct 18, 2026vsNOL52.3
Oct 25, 2026@HOUW32.8

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.0 in 2025, plus 0.0 in 2026 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 61% in 2025, 20% in 2026 of the difference the model predicts.
  • The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
  • Who played is read from the snap counts, which name every player who took a snap on offense, defense or special teams.
  • With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.
  • 11 games in 2024 are neither with Jaxson Dart nor without Jaxson Dart: Jaxson Dart had no game for the team that season, and sit out.