Putting Up Numbers· NFL

The Commanders' rushing yards with Rachaad White and without Rachaad White

, ,

Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Commanders were 15.2 yards over with Rachaad White and 25.3 yards under without Rachaad White in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 131.0 and 100.0, a difference of 31.0. All 3 home games were with Rachaad White. All 3 away games were with Rachaad White. All 4 division games were with Rachaad White.

Rachaad White, running back: 200 rushing yards, 47 carries and 16 receptions in 6 games this season, 25% of WAS’s rushing yards in those games.

One game without Rachaad White is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

rushing yards a game over expected

The games

with Rachaad Whitewithout Rachaad White
Washington Commanders’ games, 2026, each marked with Rachaad White or without Rachaad White
SideDateGameResultrushing yardsExpected
Sep 13, 2026@PHIL132118.9
Sep 20, 2026@DALL182127.4
Sep 27, 2026vsSEAW82105.0
Oct 4, 2026vsIND (neutral)L100125.3
Oct 11, 2026vsNYGT202116.6
Oct 19, 2026@SFL53107.6
Nov 1, 2026vsPHIW135119.1

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.6 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 32% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Who played is read from the snap counts, which name every player who took a snap on offense, defense or special teams.