The Commanders' points with Rachaad White and without Rachaad White
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Commanders were 1.7 points over with Rachaad White and 12.3 points under without Rachaad White over their last 35 games, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 24.3 and 13.0, a difference of 11.3. All 3 home games were with Rachaad White. All 3 away games were with Rachaad White. All 4 division games were with Rachaad White.
Rachaad White, running back: 200 rushing yards, 47 carries and 16 receptions in 6 of those 35 games.
One game without Rachaad White is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points a game over expected
with Rachaad White
+1.7
without Rachaad White
−12.3
-10010
plain
24.3
13.0
15202530
The games
with Rachaad Whitewithout Rachaad White
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2024 | vs PIT | L | 27 | 25.6 | |
| Nov 14, 2024 | @ PHI | L | 18 | 23.3 | |
| Nov 24, 2024 | vs DAL | L | 26 | 30.5 | |
| Dec 1, 2024 | vs TEN | W | 42 | 29.4 | |
| Dec 15, 2024 | @ NO | W | 20 | 27.4 | |
| Dec 22, 2024 | vsPHI | W | 36 | 23.5 | |
| Dec 29, 2024 | vs ATL | W | 30 | 29.3 | |
| Jan 5, 2025 | @DAL | W | 23 | 29.4 | |
| Jan 12, 2025 | @ TB | W | 23 | 26.2 | |
| Jan 18, 2025 | @ DET | W | 45 | 23.5 | |
| Jan 26, 2025 | @PHI | L | 23 | 23.0 | |
| Sep 7, 2025 | vs NYG | W | 21 | 24.9 | |
| Sep 11, 2025 | @ GB | L | 18 | 19.8 | |
| Sep 21, 2025 | vs LV | W | 41 | 22.6 | |
| Sep 28, 2025 | @ATL | L | 27 | 20.6 | |
| Oct 5, 2025 | @ LAC | W | 27 | 18.2 | |
| Oct 13, 2025 | vs CHI | L | 24 | 23.4 | |
| Oct 19, 2025 | @DAL | L | 22 | 27.3 | |
| Oct 27, 2025 | @ KC | L | 7 | 19.1 | |
| Nov 2, 2025 | vs SEA | L | 14 | 17.3 | |
| Nov 9, 2025 | vsDET | L | 22 | 23.4 | |
| Nov 16, 2025 | vs MIA (neutral) | L | 13 | 24.2 | |
| Nov 30, 2025 | vs DEN | L | 26 | 19.1 | |
| Dec 7, 2025 | @ MIN | L | 0 | 19.4 | |
| Dec 14, 2025 | @NYG | W | 29 | 22.4 | |
| Dec 20, 2025 | vsPHI | L | 18 | 19.2 | |
| Dec 25, 2025 | vsDAL | L | 23 | 29.0 | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | @PHI | W | 24 | 17.0 | |
| Sep 13, 2026 | @PHI | L | 22 | 22.9 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 | @DAL | L | 20 | 24.5 | |
| Sep 27, 2026 | vsSEA | W | 33 | 20.8 | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | vs IND (neutral) | L | 13 | 25.3 | |
| Oct 11, 2026 | vsNYG | T | 27 | 22.5 | |
| Oct 19, 2026 | @ SF | L | 17 | 22.3 | |
| Nov 1, 2026 | vsPHI | W | 27 | 22.6 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.2 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 23% of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the snap counts, which name every player who took a snap on offense, defense or special teams.
- 28 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Rachaad White nor without Rachaad White: Rachaad White had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.