The Commanders' carries with Rachaad White and without Rachaad White
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Commanders were 1.2 carries over with Rachaad White and 5.1 carries under without Rachaad White in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 28.2 and 22.0, a difference of 6.2. All 3 home games were with Rachaad White. All 3 away games were with Rachaad White. All 4 division games were with Rachaad White.
Rachaad White, running back: 200 rushing yards, 47 carries and 16 receptions in 6 games this season, 28% of WAS’s carries in those games.
One game without Rachaad White is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
carries a game over expected
with Rachaad White
+1.2
without Rachaad White
−5.1
-505
plain
28.2
22.0
202530
The games
with Rachaad Whitewithout Rachaad White
| Side | Date | Game | Result | carries | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | @ PHI | L | 32 | 27.2 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 | @ DAL | L | 32 | 27.2 | |
| Sep 27, 2026 | vs SEA | W | 32 | 25.9 | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | vs IND (neutral) | L | 22 | 27.1 | |
| Oct 11, 2026 | vs NYG | T | 30 | 26.8 | |
| Oct 19, 2026 | @ SF | L | 17 | 26.8 | |
| Nov 1, 2026 | vsPHI | W | 26 | 27.7 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.2 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 21% of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the snap counts, which name every player who took a snap on offense, defense or special teams.