The Colts' rushing yards with Keenan Allen and without Keenan Allen
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Colts were 1.0 yards over with Keenan Allen and 13.8 yards over without Keenan Allen in 2026, 7 games against 1. The plain averages are 114.9 and 128.0, a difference of 13.1. All 3 home games were with Keenan Allen. All 4 away games were with Keenan Allen. All 3 division games were with Keenan Allen.
Keenan Allen, receiver: 325 receiving yards, 36 receptions and 50 targets in 7 games this season.
One game without Keenan Allen is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
rushing yards a game over expected
with Keenan Allen
+1.0
without Keenan Allen
+13.8
0
plain
114.9
128.0
100150
The games
with Keenan Allenwithout Keenan Allen
| Side | Date | Game | Result | rushing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | vs BAL | L | 102 | 116.4 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 | @ KC | L | 119 | 111.9 | |
| Sep 27, 2026 | vs HOU | W | 89 | 116.4 | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | vs WAS (neutral) | W | 128 | 114.2 | |
| Oct 11, 2026 | @ PIT | L | 66 | 108.1 | |
| Oct 18, 2026 | vs TEN | L | 165 | 123.4 | |
| Oct 25, 2026 | @ MIN | L | 154 | 112.3 | |
| Nov 1, 2026 | @ JAX | L | 109 | 108.3 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.6 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 32% of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the snap counts, which name every player who took a snap on offense, defense or special teams.