The Colts' passing yards with Keenan Allen and without Keenan Allen
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Colts were 14.5 yards under with Keenan Allen and 94.2 yards under without Keenan Allen in 2026, 7 games against 1. The plain averages are 201.0 and 143.0, a difference of 58.0. All 3 home games were with Keenan Allen. All 4 away games were with Keenan Allen. All 3 division games were with Keenan Allen.
Keenan Allen, receiver: 325 receiving yards, 36 receptions and 50 targets in 7 games this season.
One game without Keenan Allen is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
passing yards a game over expected
with Keenan Allen
−14.5
without Keenan Allen
−94.2
-50050
plain
201.0
143.0
150200250
The games
with Keenan Allenwithout Keenan Allen
| Side | Date | Game | Result | passing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | vs BAL | L | 166 | 218.9 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 | @ KC | L | 210 | 211.3 | |
| Sep 27, 2026 | vs HOU | W | 235 | 218.8 | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | vs WAS (neutral) | W | 143 | 237.2 | |
| Oct 11, 2026 | @ PIT | L | 267 | 209.0 | |
| Oct 18, 2026 | vs TEN | L | 269 | 225.7 | |
| Oct 25, 2026 | @ MIN | L | 108 | 190.7 | |
| Nov 1, 2026 | @ JAX | L | 152 | 234.0 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.5 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 40% of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the snap counts, which name every player who took a snap on offense, defense or special teams.