The Browns' carries with Quinshon Judkins and without Quinshon Judkins
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Browns were 2.2 carries under with Quinshon Judkins and 2.3 carries over without Quinshon Judkins in 2026, 7 games against 1. The plain averages are 24.1 and 29.0, a difference of 4.9. All 5 away games were with Quinshon Judkins. All 5 games outside the division were with Quinshon Judkins. All 4 first-half games were with Quinshon Judkins.
Quinshon Judkins, running back: 342 rushing yards, 101 carries and 21 receptions in 7 games this season, 60% of CLE’s carries in those games.
One game without Quinshon Judkins is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
carries a game over expected
with Quinshon Judkins
−2.2
without Quinshon Judkins
+2.3
-10-50
plain
24.1
29.0
15202530
The games
with Quinshon Judkinswithout Quinshon Judkins
| Side | Date | Game | Result | carries | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | @ JAX | L | 22 | 26.1 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 | @ TB | W | 23 | 25.8 | |
| Sep 27, 2026 | vs CAR | W | 30 | 26.4 | |
| Oct 1, 2026 | vs PIT | W | 27 | 25.2 | |
| Oct 11, 2026 | @ NYJ | L | 23 | 27.8 | |
| Oct 18, 2026 | vs BAL | W | 29 | 26.7 | |
| Oct 25, 2026 | @ TEN | W | 29 | 27.5 | |
| Nov 1, 2026 | @PIT | L | 15 | 25.9 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.2 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 21% of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the snap counts, which name every player who took a snap on offense, defense or special teams.