Marcus Mariota’s passing yards at home and away
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Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed quarterbacks, Marcus Mariota was 92.5 yards over at home and 21.9 yards under away in 2026, 1 game against 1. The plain averages are 183.0 and 111.0, a difference of 72.0.
One game at home is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
passing yards a game over expected
at home
+92.5
away
−21.9
050
plain
183.0
111.0
120140160180
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | passing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | @ DAL | L | 111 | 132.9 | |
| Sep 27, 2026 | vs SEA | W | 183 | 90.5 | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | vs IND (neutral) | L | 46 | 120.9 |
Method
- Expected is what the opponent allowed quarterbacks in its other 2026 games, plus 1.6 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for quarterbacks that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s quarterbacks’ passing yards in his games, 55%.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 98% of the difference the model predicts.