Putting Up Numbers· NFL

De'Von Achane’s rushing yards at home and away

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Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed running backs, De'Von Achane was 31.8 yards under at home and 20.0 yards under away in 2026, 1 game against 2. The plain averages are 17.0 and 55.0, a difference of 38.0.

One game at home is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

rushing yards a game over expected

The games

at homeaway
De'Von Achane’s games, 2026, each marked at home or away
SideDateGameResultrushing yardsExpected
Sep 13, 2026@LVL3697.9
Sep 20, 2026@SFL7452.2
Sep 27, 2026vsKCL1748.8

Method

  • Expected is what the opponent allowed running backs in its other 2026 games, plus 0.2 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for running backs that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s running backs’ rushing yards in his games, 69%.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 100% of the difference the model predicts.