Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Cooper Rush’s passing yards at home and away

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Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed quarterbacks, Cooper Rush was 96.2 yards under at home and 55.5 yards under away in 2026, 1 game against 1. The plain averages are 86.0 and 143.0, a difference of 57.0.

One game at home is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

passing yards a game over expected

The games

at homeaway
Cooper Rush’s games, 2026, each marked at home or away
SideDateGameResultpassing yardsExpected
Sep 13, 2026@PITL143198.5
Sep 20, 2026vsCARL86182.2

Method

  • Expected is what the opponent allowed quarterbacks in its other 2026 games, plus 1.6 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for quarterbacks that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s quarterbacks’ passing yards in his games, 80%.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 98% of the difference the model predicts.