Austin Ekeler’s rushing yards at home and away
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Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed running backs, Austin Ekeler was 6.7 yards under at home and 15.6 yards under away in 2026, 2 games against 1. The plain averages are 17.5 and 3.0, a difference of 14.5. Both division games were at home.
One game away is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
rushing yards a game over expected
at home
−6.7
away
−15.6
-20-10010
plain
17.5
3.0
0102030
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | rushing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | vs IND (neutral) | L | 29 | 24.5 | |
| Oct 11, 2026 | vs NYG | T | -1 | 22.6 | |
| Oct 19, 2026 | @ SF | L | 3 | 18.6 | |
| Nov 1, 2026 | vs PHI | W | 36 | 25.8 |
Method
- Expected is what the opponent allowed running backs in its other 2026 games, plus 0.2 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for running backs that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s running backs’ rushing yards in his games, 22%.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 100% of the difference the model predicts.