Putting Up Numbers· NBA

The Clippers' assists on a back-to-back and with a day off or more

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Clippers were 2.0 assists under on a back-to-back and 0.3 assists over with a day off or more over their last 165 games, 30 games against 126. The plain averages are 22.3 and 24.9, a difference of 2.6.

The Clippers' −2.3 on a back-to-back vs with a day off or more over expected ranks 29th of the 30 teams with 10 games on each side over their last 165 games.

assists a game over expected

A −2.3 difference in assists over expected on a back-to-back vs with a day off or more is rare: shuffle which games were on a back-to-back and it comes up once in 100.

A −2.6 difference in assists on a back-to-back vs with a day off or more is rare: shuffle which games were on a back-to-back and it comes up less than once in 100.

The games

on a back-to-backwith a day off or more
LA Clippers’ games, last 165 games, each marked on a back-to-back or with a day off or more
SideDateGameResultassistsExpected
Nov 18, 2024vsGSWW2924.9
Nov 20, 2024vsORLW2221.8
Nov 22, 2024vsSACW2725.9
Nov 24, 2024@PHIW3126.2
Nov 25, 2024@BOSL1822.2
Nov 27, 2024@WASW2726.5
Nov 29, 2024@MINL2022.8
Dec 1, 2024vsDENW2827.7
Dec 3, 2024vsPORW2925.0
Dec 4, 2024vsMINL1323.7
Dec 8, 2024vsHOUL2122.5
Dec 13, 2024@DENL2427.0
Dec 16, 2024vsUTAW2828.4
Dec 19, 2024@DALW3025.1
Dec 21, 2024@DALL1825.4
Dec 23, 2024@MEMW2225.4
Dec 27, 2024vsGSWW1925.1
Dec 30, 2024@NOPW2426.8
Dec 31, 2024@SASL1726.6
Jan 2, 2025@OKCL2522.0
Jan 4, 2025vsATLW3627.1
Jan 6, 2025@MINL2322.8
Jan 8, 2025@DENL1427.3
Jan 13, 2025vsMIAW2825.4
Jan 15, 2025vsBKNW2626.0
Jan 16, 2025@PORW2324.4
Jan 19, 2025vsLALW2725.9
Jan 20, 2025vsCHIL2427.9
Jan 22, 2025vsBOSL2422.8
Jan 23, 2025vsWASW2927.2
Jan 25, 2025vsMILW1925.5
Jan 27, 2025@PHXL2225.6
Jan 29, 2025@SASW2626.4
Jan 31, 2025@CHAW2625.0
Feb 2, 2025@TORL2124.4
Feb 4, 2025vsLALL3025.8
Feb 6, 2025vsINDL2523.9
Feb 8, 2025vsUTAW3628.2
Feb 12, 2025vsMEMW2926.0
Feb 13, 2025@UTAW2227.8
Feb 20, 2025@MILL2824.6
Feb 23, 2025@INDL2323.2
Feb 24, 2025@DETL2422.8
Feb 26, 2025@CHIW3327.0
Feb 28, 2025@LALL2525.2
Mar 2, 2025@LALL2425.2
Mar 4, 2025@PHXL2925.5
Mar 5, 2025vsDETW1823.6
Mar 7, 2025vsNYKW2323.7
Mar 9, 2025vsSACW2326.0
Mar 11, 2025@NOPL3426.6
Mar 12, 2025@MIAW2424.8
Mar 14, 2025@ATLW2726.6
Mar 16, 2025vsCHAW3025.6
Mar 18, 2025vsCLEW2824.5
Mar 21, 2025vsMEMW2926.0
Mar 23, 2025vsOKCL2022.9
Mar 26, 2025@NYKW2722.9
Mar 28, 2025@BKNW2925.2
Mar 30, 2025@CLEL2523.9
Mar 31, 2025@ORLW1821.2
Apr 2, 2025vsNOPW2727.4
Apr 4, 2025vsDALW2326.0
Apr 5, 2025vsDALW3125.9
Apr 8, 2025vsSASW3027.0
Apr 9, 2025vsHOUW3322.2
Apr 11, 2025@SACW1925.3
Apr 13, 2025@GSWW2824.2
Apr 19, 2025@DENL2527.0
Apr 21, 2025@DENW2427.0
Apr 24, 2025vsDENW2627.7
Apr 26, 2025vsDENL2527.8
Apr 29, 2025@DENL2926.9
May 1, 2025vsDENW2327.8
May 3, 2025@DENL3026.9
Oct 22, 2025@UTAL2827.6
Oct 24, 2025vsPHXW3222.7
Oct 26, 2025vsPORW2623.7
Oct 28, 2025@GSWL1024.6
Oct 31, 2025vsNOPW2825.6
Nov 3, 2025vsMIAL2524.9
Nov 4, 2025vsOKCL2622.5
Nov 6, 2025@PHXL2422.4
Nov 8, 2025vsPHXL2622.8
Nov 10, 2025vsATLL1924.1
Nov 12, 2025vsDENL2825.0
Nov 14, 2025@DALW2225.4
Nov 16, 2025@BOSL2321.6
Nov 17, 2025@PHIL1824.4
Nov 20, 2025@ORLL2022.0
Nov 22, 2025@CHAW3022.7
Nov 23, 2025@CLEL2323.4
Nov 25, 2025@LALL2424.2
Nov 28, 2025vsMEML1925.9
Nov 29, 2025vsDALL2525.8
Dec 1, 2025@MIAL2324.4
Dec 3, 2025@ATLW2923.4
Dec 5, 2025@MEML2225.4
Dec 6, 2025@MINL1623.0
Dec 11, 2025@HOUL2521.7
Dec 15, 2025vsMEML2625.7
Dec 18, 2025@OKCL2522.0
Dec 20, 2025vsLALW2224.7
Dec 23, 2025vsHOUW2522.2
Dec 26, 2025@PORW2123.3
Dec 28, 2025vsDETW1820.9
Dec 30, 2025vsSACW2925.4
Jan 1, 2026vsUTAW2028.3
Jan 3, 2026vsBOSL2622.1
Jan 5, 2026vsGSWW2524.7
Jan 7, 2026@NYKL2121.3
Jan 9, 2026@BKNW2824.2
Jan 10, 2026@DETW1720.5
Jan 12, 2026vsCHAW2223.3
Jan 14, 2026vsWASW2526.6
Jan 16, 2026@TORW2521.3
Jan 19, 2026@WASW2026.2
Jan 20, 2026@CHIL2425.6
Jan 22, 2026vsLALW2324.7
Jan 25, 2026vsBKNW2024.9
Jan 27, 2026@UTAW2727.6
Jan 30, 2026@DENL2924.5
Feb 1, 2026@PHXW2522.3
Feb 2, 2026vsPHIL2424.8
Feb 4, 2026vsCLEL2024.0
Feb 6, 2026@SACW2225.0
Feb 8, 2026@MINW2522.9
Feb 10, 2026@HOUL2421.7
Feb 11, 2026@HOUW2121.8
Feb 19, 2026vsDENW2725.0
Feb 20, 2026@LALL2524.2
Feb 22, 2026vsORLL1822.5
Feb 26, 2026vsMINL2123.4
Mar 1, 2026vsNOPW2925.5
Mar 2, 2026@GSWW1824.4
Mar 4, 2026vsINDW2823.8
Mar 6, 2026@SASL2222.8
Mar 7, 2026@MEMW1525.5
Mar 9, 2026vsNYKW2521.6
Mar 11, 2026vsMINW3623.1
Mar 13, 2026vsCHIW2826.0
Mar 14, 2026vsSACL1925.6
Mar 16, 2026vsSASL2523.2
Mar 18, 2026@NOPL2425.2
Mar 19, 2026@NOPL2025.3
Mar 21, 2026@DALW3325.1
Mar 23, 2026vsMILW3025.1
Mar 25, 2026vsTORW2421.8
Mar 27, 2026@INDW2023.5
Mar 29, 2026@MILW2724.7
Mar 31, 2026vsPORL1923.9
Apr 2, 2026vsSASL2023.3
Apr 5, 2026@SACW3024.9
Apr 7, 2026vsDALW2325.8
Apr 8, 2026vsOKCL2722.5
Apr 10, 2026@PORL1723.4
Apr 12, 2026vsGSWW2724.7
Oct 21, 2026vsSACW2925.9
Oct 23, 2026@LALL2426.0
Oct 25, 2026@OKCL3024.5
Oct 28, 2026vsLALL1727.1
Oct 30, 2026@MINL2424.7
Nov 1, 2026@GSWL2226.4
Nov 2, 2026vsTORL2925.9
Nov 4, 2026vsMIAL3027.4

Read next

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.4 in 2024-25, plus 0.3 in 2025-26, plus 0.5 in 2026-27 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 93% in 2024-25, 91% in 2025-26, 31% in 2026-27 of the difference the model predicts.
  • The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut into stretches, one a 15 games, where the dates leave the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
  • 9 games in 2024-25 and 2025-26 and 2026-27 are neither on a back-to-back nor with a day off or more, and sit out.