Putting Up Numbers· NBA

The Bucks' 3-pointers made at home and away

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Through the Bucks' game on Oct 24, 2026.

Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Bucks were 0.9 3-pointers made over at home and 0.5 3-pointers made under away over their last 165 games, 84 games against 81. The plain averages are 15.6 and 13.8, a difference of 1.8.

The Bucks' +1.5 at home vs away over expected ranks 1st of the 30 teams with 10 games on each side over their last 165 games through Oct 24, 2026.

3-pointers made a game over expected

A +1.5 difference in 3-pointers made over expected at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.

A +1.8 difference in 3-pointers made at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.

The games

at homeaway
Milwaukee Bucks’ games, last 165 games, each marked at home or away
SideDateGameResult3-pointers madeExpected
Nov 7, 2024vsUTAW1515.7
Nov 8, 2024@NYKL713.5
Nov 10, 2024vsBOSL1313.9
Nov 12, 2024vsTORW1614.0
Nov 13, 2024vsDETW1514.3
Nov 16, 2024@CHAL1514.5
Nov 18, 2024vsHOUW1313.4
Nov 20, 2024vsCHIW1314.6
Nov 22, 2024vsINDW1713.4
Nov 23, 2024vsCHAW1814.9
Nov 26, 2024@MIAW2014.1
Nov 30, 2024vsWASW1615.0
Dec 3, 2024@DETW2313.7
Dec 4, 2024vsATLL1515.1
Dec 6, 2024@BOSL1113.5
Dec 8, 2024@BKNW1513.4
Dec 10, 2024vsORLW1112.4
Dec 14, 2024vsATLW1415.1
Dec 20, 2024@CLEL1014.1
Dec 21, 2024vsWASW2014.9
Dec 23, 2024@CHIW1814.0
Dec 26, 2024vsBKNL1513.8
Dec 28, 2024@CHIL1514.1
Dec 31, 2024@INDW1213.1
Jan 2, 2025vsBKNL1113.9
Jan 4, 2025vsPORL1313.7
Jan 6, 2025@TORW2213.4
Jan 8, 2025vsSASW1915.2
Jan 10, 2025@ORLW912.0
Jan 12, 2025@NYKL1013.4
Jan 14, 2025vsSACW1715.3
Jan 15, 2025vsORLW712.5
Jan 17, 2025vsTORW1314.0
Jan 19, 2025vsPHIW1415.0
Jan 23, 2025vsMIAW1814.6
Jan 25, 2025@LACL1313.5
Jan 27, 2025@UTAW1215.3
Jan 28, 2025@PORL1113.4
Jan 31, 2025@SASL1214.9
Feb 2, 2025vsMEML2014.8
Feb 3, 2025@OKCL1314.0
Feb 5, 2025@CHAW1814.4
Feb 7, 2025@ATLL1914.6
Feb 9, 2025vsPHIW2414.8
Feb 10, 2025vsGSWL1014.1
Feb 12, 2025@MINW1213.2
Feb 20, 2025vsLACW1713.9
Feb 21, 2025@WASW914.7
Feb 23, 2025vsMIAW1414.7
Feb 25, 2025@HOUL1213.0
Feb 27, 2025vsDENW1414.7
Mar 1, 2025@DALW1313.4
Mar 4, 2025@ATLW1114.7
Mar 5, 2025vsDALW1613.8
Mar 8, 2025vsORLL1112.4
Mar 9, 2025vsCLEL914.5
Mar 11, 2025@INDL1413.0
Mar 13, 2025vsLALW1714.3
Mar 15, 2025vsINDW1513.4
Mar 16, 2025vsOKCL1314.4
Mar 18, 2025@GSWL1213.7
Mar 20, 2025@LALW1114.0
Mar 22, 2025@SACW1314.9
Mar 24, 2025@PHXL1214.7
Mar 26, 2025@DENL1614.3
Mar 28, 2025vsNYKL1313.8
Mar 30, 2025vsATLL1215.1
Apr 1, 2025vsPHXW1715.0
Apr 3, 2025@PHIW1614.6
Apr 5, 2025@MIAW814.4
Apr 6, 2025@NOPW1115.1
Apr 8, 2025vsMINW1213.7
Apr 10, 2025vsNOPW1815.3
Apr 11, 2025@DETW1713.9
Apr 13, 2025vsDETW2314.2
Apr 19, 2025@INDL913.1
Apr 22, 2025@INDL1413.0
Apr 25, 2025vsINDW1513.4
Apr 27, 2025vsINDL1513.4
Apr 29, 2025@INDL1912.9
Oct 22, 2025vsWASW1815.5
Oct 24, 2025@TORW1414.0
Oct 26, 2025@CLEL1315.5
Oct 28, 2025vsNYKW1415.3
Oct 30, 2025vsGSWW1915.0
Nov 1, 2025vsSACL1515.7
Nov 3, 2025@INDW2013.6
Nov 4, 2025@TORL1114.1
Nov 7, 2025vsCHIW1615.9
Nov 9, 2025vsHOUL1314.4
Nov 10, 2025@DALW1414.5
Nov 12, 2025@CHAL1214.6
Nov 14, 2025vsCHAW2014.7
Nov 15, 2025vsLALL1514.8
Nov 17, 2025@CLEL1715.5
Nov 20, 2025vsPHIL1415.3
Nov 22, 2025vsDETL2014.3
Nov 24, 2025vsPORL1314.7
Nov 26, 2025@MIAL1415.5
Nov 28, 2025@NYKL1814.9
Nov 29, 2025vsBKNW1614.5
Dec 1, 2025@WASL2115.1
Dec 3, 2025vsDETW1314.5
Dec 5, 2025vsPHIL1115.3
Dec 6, 2025@DETL1614.1
Dec 11, 2025vsBOSW1315.9
Dec 14, 2025@BKNL814.3
Dec 18, 2025vsTORL1514.3
Dec 21, 2025@MINL1313.7
Dec 23, 2025@INDW1013.8
Dec 26, 2025@MEML1415.8
Dec 27, 2025@CHIW1315.6
Dec 29, 2025@CHAW1614.5
Dec 31, 2025vsWASL1615.5
Jan 2, 2026vsCHAW1614.8
Jan 4, 2026@SACW1015.5
Jan 7, 2026@GSWL1414.8
Jan 9, 2026@LALW1214.5
Jan 11, 2026@DENL1415.2
Jan 13, 2026vsMINL1314.1
Jan 15, 2026@SASL1714.3
Jan 19, 2026@ATLW1614.4
Jan 21, 2026vsOKCL1616.0
Jan 23, 2026vsDENL1215.5
Jan 27, 2026@PHIL1514.9
Jan 29, 2026@WASL1015.3
Feb 1, 2026@BOSL1015.6
Feb 3, 2026vsCHIW2315.7
Feb 4, 2026vsNOPW2116.0
Feb 6, 2026vsINDW1314.1
Feb 9, 2026@ORLL1213.7
Feb 11, 2026@ORLW1413.6
Feb 12, 2026@OKCW1715.6
Feb 20, 2026@NOPW1515.8
Feb 22, 2026vsTORL914.5
Feb 24, 2026vsMIAW1615.8
Feb 25, 2026vsCLEW1915.8
Feb 27, 2026vsNYKL1615.3
Mar 1, 2026@CHIL1315.6
Mar 2, 2026vsBOSL1315.9
Mar 4, 2026vsATLL1314.8
Mar 7, 2026vsUTAW1517.2
Mar 8, 2026vsORLL1314.0
Mar 10, 2026vsPHXL1614.4
Mar 12, 2026@MIAL915.6
Mar 14, 2026@ATLL1214.5
Mar 15, 2026vsINDW2313.9
Mar 17, 2026vsCLEL2015.7
Mar 19, 2026@UTAL1516.9
Mar 21, 2026@PHXW1614.1
Mar 23, 2026@LACL1615.0
Mar 25, 2026@PORL1414.4
Mar 28, 2026vsSASL1414.7
Mar 29, 2026vsLACL2015.2
Mar 31, 2026vsDALW2014.7
Apr 1, 2026@HOUL1714.0
Apr 3, 2026vsBOSL2115.7
Apr 5, 2026vsMEMW1616.1
Apr 7, 2026@BKNL1514.1
Apr 8, 2026@DETL1714.0
Apr 10, 2026vsBKNW2414.3
Apr 12, 2026@PHIL1314.9
Oct 21, 2026@WASL1513.6
Oct 23, 2026vsCHIL1914.9
Oct 24, 2026@PHIL1113.3

Read next

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.2 in 2024-25, plus 0.2 in 2025-26, minus 0.1 in 2026-27 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 87% in 2024-25, 90% in 2025-26, 47% in 2026-27 of the difference the model predicts.
  • The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut into stretches, one a 15 games, where the dates leave the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
  • Read against the season’s ratings as of Nov 4, 2026; the games are the ones through Oct 24.