Miles McBride’s points at home and away
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Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed guards, Miles McBride was 2.0 points under at home and 4.4 points over away in 2026-27, 5 games against 3. The plain averages are 4.4 and 11.0, a difference of 6.6.
3 games away is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points a game over expected
at home
−2.0
away
+4.4
010
A −6.4 difference in points over expected at home vs away is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up 13 times in 100.
plain
4.4
11.0
5101520
A −6.6 difference in points at home vs away is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up 17 times in 100.
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | vs PHI | L | 3 | 5.9 | |
| Oct 23, 2026 | @ BOS | L | 20 | 5.7 | |
| Oct 25, 2026 | vs ORL | L | 1 | 7.2 | |
| Oct 27, 2026 | vs DET | W | 5 | 4.7 | |
| Oct 28, 2026 | @ CHI | W | 3 | 7.9 | |
| Oct 30, 2026 | @PHI | L | 10 | 6.2 | |
| Nov 2, 2026 | vs BKN | W | 6 | 6.2 | |
| Nov 4, 2026 | vsCHI | W | 7 | 8.0 |
Method
- Expected is what the opponent allowed guards in its other 2026-27 games, minus 1.3 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for guards that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s guards’ points in his games, 11%.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 96% of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut into stretches, one a 15 games, where the dates leave the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.