Isaiah Joe’s points at home and away
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Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed guards, Isaiah Joe was 2.0 points over at home and 0.6 points under away in 2026-27, 1 game against 2. The plain averages are 8.0 and 7.0, a difference of 1.0. Expected was 1.6 points lower at home than away.
One game at home is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points a game over expected
at home
+2.0
away
−0.6
0
plain
8.0
7.0
510
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | vs BOS | W | 8 | 6.0 | |
| Oct 23, 2026 | @ MIA | W | 12 | 8.2 | |
| Oct 25, 2026 | @ PHI | W | 2 | 7.0 |
Method
- Expected is what the opponent allowed guards in its other 2026-27 games, minus 1.3 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for guards that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s guards’ points in his games, 12%.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 96% of the difference the model predicts.