Devin Vassell’s points at home and away
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Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed guards, Devin Vassell was 0.2 points over at home and 6.9 points over away in 2026-27, 6 games against 2. The plain averages are 8.8 and 16.0, a difference of 7.2. Both back-to-backs were away. All 5 games with a day off or more were at home.
2 games away is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points a game over expected
at home
+0.2
away
+6.9
-50510
A −6.7 difference in points over expected at home vs away is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up 17 times in 100.
plain
8.8
16.0
5101520
A −7.2 difference in points at home vs away is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up 17 times in 100.
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | vs OKC | L | 7 | 8.6 | |
| Oct 23, 2026 | vs HOU | L | 10 | 9.0 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ DAL | W | 11 | 8.9 | |
| Oct 27, 2026 | vs SAC | W | 14 | 7.6 | |
| Oct 28, 2026 | @ UTA | W | 21 | 9.3 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs MIN | W | 9 | 8.7 | |
| Nov 2, 2026 | vsUTA | W | 11 | 8.9 | |
| Nov 4, 2026 | vsDAL | W | 2 | 9.1 |
Method
- Expected is what the opponent allowed guards in its other 2026-27 games, minus 1.3 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for guards that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s guards’ points in his games, 15%.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 96% of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut into stretches, one a 15 games, where the dates leave the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.