Putting Up Numbers· NBA

Chris Youngblood’s points vs a division opponent and vs a team outside the division

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Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed guards, Chris Youngblood was 1.7 points over vs a division opponent and 3.9 points under vs a team outside the division in 2026-27, 2 games against 1. The plain averages are 5.0 and 0.0, a difference of 5.0.

One game vs a team outside the division is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

points a game over expected

The games

vs a division opponentvs a team outside the division
Chris Youngblood’s games, 2026-27, each marked vs a division opponent or vs a team outside the division
SideDateGameResultpointsExpected
Oct 31, 2026@UTAW33.4
Nov 2, 2026@DENW73.3
Nov 4, 2026@PHXW03.9

Method

  • Expected is what the opponent allowed guards in its other 2026-27 games, minus 1.3 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for guards that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s guards’ points in his games, 5%.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 96% of the difference the model predicts.