Chris Youngblood’s points vs a division opponent and vs a team outside the division
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Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed guards, Chris Youngblood was 1.7 points over vs a division opponent and 3.9 points under vs a team outside the division in 2026-27, 2 games against 1. The plain averages are 5.0 and 0.0, a difference of 5.0.
One game vs a team outside the division is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points a game over expected
vs a division opponent
+1.7
vs a team outside the division
−3.9
-202
plain
5.0
0.0
0246
The games
vs a division opponentvs a team outside the division
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ | W | 3 | 3.4 | |
| Nov 2, 2026 | @ | W | 7 | 3.3 | |
| Nov 4, 2026 | @ | W | 0 | 3.9 |
Method
- Expected is what the opponent allowed guards in its other 2026-27 games, minus 1.3 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for guards that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s guards’ points in his games, 5%.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 96% of the difference the model predicts.