Branden Carlson’s points at home and away
, ,
Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed centers, Branden Carlson was 1.4 points over at home and 0.3 points over away in 2026-27, 1 game against 2. The plain averages are 2.0 and 1.0, a difference of 1.0.
One game at home is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points a game over expected
at home
+1.4
away
+0.3
-0.500.51
plain
2.0
1.0
00.511.52
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | vs MEM | L | 2 | 0.6 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ UTA | W | 0 | 0.6 | |
| Nov 4, 2026 | @ PHX | W | 2 | 0.9 |
Method
- Expected is what the opponent allowed centers in its other 2026-27 games, plus 0.6 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for centers that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s centers’ points in his games, 6%.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 89% of the difference the model predicts.