Putting Up Numbers· NBA

Bucks @ Celtics

Wed, Nov 4, 2026

Celtics 109, Bucks 102

Bucks at Celtics: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameBucks1 gameCeltics1 game
Points−8.7−10.7
Points allowed−5.4−10.2
Rebounds+0.7+8.8
Assists+2.0−2.8
3-pointers made+5.3+2.5
Free throw attempts−6.2−1.6
Turnovers−1.8−2.0
Turnovers forced−3.1−1.5

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Celtics

Bucks

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Celtics

  • The Celtics had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.

The series

  • The Celtics lead the series 150–134 since 1968-69. The Celtics have won the last 4. The Celtics have won 8 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • At home, the Celtics' free throw attempts were 3.9 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.8 under expected.
  • The Bucks had lost 8 of their last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • On the road, the Bucks' turnovers were 2.9 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.9 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Nov 4, 2026at CelticsCeltics 109, Bucks 102
Apr 3, 2026at BucksCeltics 133, Bucks 101
Mar 2, 2026at BucksCeltics 108, Bucks 81
Feb 1, 2026at CelticsCeltics 107, Bucks 79
Dec 11, 2025at BucksBucks 116, Celtics 101
Dec 6, 2024at CelticsCeltics 111, Bucks 105
Nov 10, 2024at BucksCeltics 113, Bucks 107
Oct 28, 2024at CelticsCeltics 119, Bucks 108
Apr 9, 2024at BucksBucks 104, Celtics 91
Mar 20, 2024at CelticsCeltics 122, Bucks 119

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Nov 3, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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