Putting Up Numbers· NBA

Wizards @ Magic

Mon, Nov 2, 2026

Wizards 103, Magic 94

Wizards at Magic: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameWizards1 gameMagic1 game
Points−11.6−18.0
Points allowed−17.6−9.0
Rebounds−9.3−12.7
Assists−1.1−2.7
3-pointers made−4.1−2.0
Free throw attempts−7.6−14.1
Turnovers−0.5+2.5
Turnovers forced+1.3−0.9

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Magic

Wizards

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

If you squint

  • The Magic had lost 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Against a division opponent, the Magic’s free throw attempts were 15.2 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 14.3 under expected.
  • At home, the Magic’s points of margin were 8.5 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 11.5 under expected.
  • The Wizards had lost 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • Against a division opponent, the Wizards’ assists were 6.2 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.1 under expected.
  • On the road, the Wizards’ free throw attempts were 6.3 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 8.7 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Nov 2, 2026at MagicWizards 103, Magic 94
Mar 12, 2026at MagicMagic 136, Wizards 131
Mar 3, 2026at MagicMagic 126, Wizards 109
Jan 6, 2026at WizardsWizards 120, Magic 112
Nov 1, 2025at WizardsMagic 125, Wizards 94
Apr 3, 2025at WizardsMagic 109, Wizards 97
Mar 21, 2025at WizardsMagic 120, Wizards 105
Feb 23, 2025at MagicMagic 110, Wizards 90
Nov 10, 2024at MagicMagic 121, Wizards 94
Mar 6, 2024at WizardsMagic 119, Wizards 109

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Nov 1, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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