Putting Up Numbers· NBA

Trail Blazers @ Nuggets

Mon, Nov 2, 2026

Trail Blazers 118, Nuggets 110

Trail Blazers at Nuggets: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameTrail Blazers1 gameNuggets1 game
Points+4.6−2.5
Points allowed−4.9+1.4
Rebounds+9.3−6.3
Assists+3.5−1.8
3-pointers made+1.7−3.6
Free throw attempts−1.9+8.4
Turnovers+0.5−2.8
Turnovers forced−3.4+0.9

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Nuggets

Trail Blazers

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

If you squint

  • The Nuggets had won 8 of their last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Against a division opponent, the Nuggets' points were 29.4 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.5 under expected.
  • At home, the Nuggets' points allowed were 22.8 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.3 over expected.
  • Against a division opponent, the Trail Blazers' assists were 9.8 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.9 over expected.
  • On the road, the Trail Blazers' free throw attempts were 9.2 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.5 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Nov 2, 2026at NuggetsTrail Blazers 118, Nuggets 110
Apr 6, 2026at NuggetsNuggets 137, Trail Blazers 132
Mar 22, 2026at NuggetsNuggets 128, Trail Blazers 112
Feb 20, 2026at Trail BlazersNuggets 157, Trail Blazers 103
Oct 31, 2025at Trail BlazersTrail Blazers 109, Nuggets 107
Mar 21, 2025at Trail BlazersTrail Blazers 128, Nuggets 109
Feb 12, 2025at NuggetsNuggets 132, Trail Blazers 121
Feb 10, 2025at NuggetsNuggets 146, Trail Blazers 117
Dec 19, 2024at Trail BlazersTrail Blazers 126, Nuggets 124
Mar 23, 2024at Trail BlazersNuggets 114, Trail Blazers 111

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Nov 1, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

Read next