Putting Up Numbers· NBA

Timberwolves @ Spurs

Sat, Oct 31, 2026

Spurs 121, Timberwolves 111

Timberwolves at Spurs: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameTimberwolves1 gameSpurs1 game
Points+0.8+11.2
Points allowed+6.1−4.6
Rebounds−6.8+4.8
Assists−2.8−1.9
3-pointers made−4.0−2.7
Free throw attempts+3.2+6.1
Turnovers−0.4−0.7
Turnovers forced+0.8−1.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Spurs

Timberwolves

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

  • The Spurs lead the series 107–50 since 1989-90. The Spurs have won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • On the road, the Timberwolves' rebounds were 9.7 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 9.0 under expected.
  • On a back-to-back, the Timberwolves' points allowed were 15.7 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 9.2 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 31, 2026at SpursSpurs 121, Timberwolves 111
May 15, 2026at TimberwolvesSpurs 139, Timberwolves 109
May 12, 2026at SpursSpurs 126, Timberwolves 97
May 10, 2026at TimberwolvesTimberwolves 114, Spurs 109
May 8, 2026at TimberwolvesSpurs 115, Timberwolves 108
May 6, 2026at SpursSpurs 133, Timberwolves 95
May 4, 2026at SpursTimberwolves 104, Spurs 102
Jan 17, 2026at SpursSpurs 126, Timberwolves 123
Jan 11, 2026at TimberwolvesTimberwolves 104, Spurs 103
Nov 30, 2025at TimberwolvesTimberwolves 125, Spurs 112

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 30, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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