Putting Up Numbers· NBA

Suns @ Thunder

Mon, Oct 26, 2026

Thunder 125, Suns 114

Suns at Thunder: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameSuns1 gameThunder1 game
Points+3.9+5.3
Points allowed+13.4+1.0
Rebounds−6.6+3.2
Assists+3.1−2.5
3-pointers made+4.3−2.1
Free throw attempts+2.0+0.7
Turnovers−2.7+0.3
Turnovers forced+2.0−2.9

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Thunder

Suns

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Thunder

  • The Thunder's points of margin were 10.9 lower on a back-to-back than with a day off or more against expected over their last 165 games, 30th of 30 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 6.8 over expected.

The series

  • The Suns lead the series 151–143 since 1968-69. The Thunder have won the last 5.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • The Thunder had won 8 of their last 10 at home.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • At home, the Thunder's points were 9.7 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 11.2 over expected.
  • The Suns had lost 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • On the road, the Suns' points were 35.9 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.5 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 26, 2026at ThunderThunder 125, Suns 114
Apr 27, 2026at SunsThunder 131, Suns 122
Apr 25, 2026at SunsThunder 121, Suns 109
Apr 22, 2026at ThunderThunder 120, Suns 107
Apr 19, 2026at ThunderThunder 119, Suns 84
Apr 12, 2026at ThunderSuns 135, Thunder 103
Feb 11, 2026at SunsThunder 136, Suns 109
Jan 4, 2026at SunsSuns 108, Thunder 105
Dec 10, 2025at ThunderThunder 138, Suns 89
Nov 28, 2025at ThunderThunder 123, Suns 119

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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