Putting Up Numbers· NBA

Timberwolves @ Cavaliers

Mon, Oct 26, 2026

Cavaliers 127, Timberwolves 125

Timberwolves at Cavaliers: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameTimberwolves1 gameCavaliers1 game
Points+10.6+17.6
Points allowed+11.4+10.1
Rebounds+9.5+5.8
Assists−1.2+4.3
3-pointers made−0.4+5.7
Free throw attempts−1.6−2.4
Turnovers+3.2−3.8
Turnovers forced−2.7+2.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Cavaliers

Timberwolves

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

  • The Cavaliers lead the series 44–28 since 1989-90. The Cavaliers have won the last 2. The Cavaliers have won 4 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • The Cavaliers had won 7 of their last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • At home, the Cavaliers' free throw attempts were 10.0 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.7 under expected.
  • On the road, the Timberwolves' rebounds were 10.7 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 7.6 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 26, 2026at CavaliersCavaliers 127, Timberwolves 125
Jan 10, 2026at CavaliersCavaliers 146, Timberwolves 134
Jan 8, 2026at TimberwolvesTimberwolves 131, Cavaliers 122
Feb 10, 2025at CavaliersCavaliers 128, Timberwolves 107
Jan 18, 2025at TimberwolvesCavaliers 124, Timberwolves 117
Mar 22, 2024at TimberwolvesTimberwolves 104, Cavaliers 91
Mar 8, 2024at CavaliersCavaliers 113, Timberwolves 104
Jan 14, 2023at TimberwolvesTimberwolves 110, Cavaliers 102
Nov 13, 2022at CavaliersTimberwolves 129, Cavaliers 124
Feb 28, 2022at CavaliersTimberwolves 127, Cavaliers 122

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 25, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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