Western Kentucky’s 3-pointers made at home and away
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Western Kentucky was NaN 3-pointers made over at home and 1.3 3-pointers made under away over its last 60 games, 28 games against 24. The plain averages are 9.5 and 6.7, a difference of 2.9.
Western Kentucky’s NaN at home vs away over expected ranks 1st of the 365 teams with 6 games on each side over their last 60 games.
3-pointers made a game over expected
at home
NaN
away
−1.3
A NaN difference in 3-pointers made over expected at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
plain
9.5
6.7
51015
A +2.9 difference in 3-pointers made at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | 3-pointers made | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2024 | @ Kentucky | L | 4 | 7.9 | |
| Nov 30, 2024 | vs Marshall | W | 7 | 6.9 | |
| Dec 7, 2024 | @ Evansville | W | 10 | 8.1 | |
| Dec 10, 2024 | vs Tennessee State | W | 10 | 8.1 | |
| Dec 14, 2024 | vs Murray State | W | 6 | 5.9 | |
| Dec 17, 2024 | vs Seattle U | W | 12 | 7.2 | |
| Dec 21, 2024 | vsKKentucky Wesleyan | W | 13 | — | |
| Dec 29, 2024 | @ Michigan | L | 5 | 7.7 | |
| Jan 2, 2025 | @ Liberty | W | 5 | 6.6 | |
| Jan 4, 2025 | @ Florida International | L | 4 | 7.8 | |
| Jan 9, 2025 | vs Jacksonville State | L | 8 | 9.1 | |
| Jan 11, 2025 | vs Kennesaw State | W | 11 | 7.7 | |
| Jan 18, 2025 | @ Middle Tennessee | L | 5 | 7.3 | |
| Jan 23, 2025 | @ Louisiana Tech | L | 6 | 7.5 | |
| Jan 25, 2025 | @ Sam Houston | W | 8 | 9.1 | |
| Jan 30, 2025 | vs UTEP | W | 7 | 7.9 | |
| Feb 1, 2025 | vs New Mexico State | W | 18 | 7.1 | |
| Feb 6, 2025 | @Kennesaw State | L | 9 | 7.6 | |
| Feb 8, 2025 | @Jacksonville State | L | 12 | 8.6 | |
| Feb 15, 2025 | vsMiddle Tennessee | L | 8 | 7.3 | |
| Feb 20, 2025 | vsSam Houston | L | 9 | 9.2 | |
| Feb 22, 2025 | vsLouisiana Tech | W | 5 | 7.8 | |
| Feb 27, 2025 | @UTEP | W | 2 | 8.0 | |
| Mar 1, 2025 | @New Mexico State | L | 8 | 7.5 | |
| Mar 6, 2025 | vsFlorida International | W | 12 | 7.5 | |
| Mar 8, 2025 | vsLiberty | L | 8 | 6.6 | |
| Mar 11, 2025 | vsFlorida International (neutral) | L | 1 | 8.1 | |
| Nov 3, 2025 | vs Tennessee Tech | W | 2 | 9.4 | |
| Nov 10, 2025 | @ Eastern Kentucky | W | 5 | 8.8 | |
| Nov 16, 2025 | vsTennessee State | W | 2 | 8.5 | |
| Nov 18, 2025 | vsBBethel (TN) | W | 12 | — | |
| Nov 26, 2025 | vs Vanderbilt (neutral) | L | 8 | 7.0 | |
| Nov 27, 2025 | vs South Florida (neutral) | L | 10 | 8.3 | |
| Nov 28, 2025 | vs Wichita State (neutral) | W | 7 | 6.6 | |
| Dec 6, 2025 | vsEvansville | W | 9 | 9.4 | |
| Dec 10, 2025 | @Marshall | L | 6 | 8.3 | |
| Dec 15, 2025 | vsCCampbellsville | W | 14 | — | |
| Dec 19, 2025 | vs Tulsa | L | 12 | 8.3 | |
| Dec 29, 2025 | @Jacksonville State | L | 9 | 7.9 | |
| Jan 2, 2026 | vsSam Houston | W | 14 | 7.8 | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | vsLouisiana Tech | W | 12 | 8.6 | |
| Jan 8, 2026 | @New Mexico State | L | 5 | 7.9 | |
| Jan 10, 2026 | @UTEP | W | 5 | 7.5 | |
| Jan 14, 2026 | vs Missouri State | W | 7 | 7.3 | |
| Jan 17, 2026 | vsKennesaw State | L | 10 | 7.6 | |
| Jan 21, 2026 | vsLiberty | L | 10 | 8.4 | |
| Jan 24, 2026 | @Sam Houston | L | 8 | 8.0 | |
| Jan 28, 2026 | @Kennesaw State | L | 7 | 7.6 | |
| Jan 31, 2026 | @Middle Tennessee | W | 9 | 7.1 | |
| Feb 5, 2026 | vsJacksonville State | L | 7 | 8.2 | |
| Feb 7, 2026 | vsFlorida International | W | 13 | 9.8 | |
| Feb 14, 2026 | vsMiddle Tennessee | W | 8 | 7.3 | |
| Feb 18, 2026 | @ Delaware | W | 9 | 9.1 | |
| Feb 21, 2026 | @Liberty | W | 10 | 8.2 | |
| Feb 26, 2026 | vsNew Mexico State | W | 11 | 7.7 | |
| Feb 28, 2026 | vsUTEP | W | 9 | 7.4 | |
| Mar 5, 2026 | @Missouri State | L | 2 | 7.4 | |
| Mar 7, 2026 | @Florida International | L | 7 | 10.0 | |
| Mar 12, 2026 | vsKennesaw State (neutral) | L | 11 | 7.5 | |
| Nov 2, 2026 | vs Morehead State | W | 10 | NaN |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.1 in 2024-25, plus 0.1 in 2025-26, plus 0.0 in 2026-27 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 82% in 2024-25, 85% in 2025-26, NaN% in 2026-27 of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Kentucky Wesleyan, Bethel (TN), Campbellsville have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.