Washington State’s points at home and away
, ,
Against what the season’s ratings expected, Washington State was NaN points over at home and 5.5 points under away over its last 60 games, 26 games against 24. The plain averages are 81.3 and 70.6, a difference of 10.7.
Washington State’s NaN at home vs away over expected ranks 1st of the 365 teams with 6 games on each side over their last 60 games.
points a game over expected
at home
NaN
away
−5.5
A NaN difference in points over expected at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
plain
81.3
70.6
6080100
A +10.7 difference in points at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | vs SMU (neutral) | L | 60 | 77.2 | |
| Dec 2, 2024 | @ Nevada | W | 68 | 72.3 | |
| Dec 7, 2024 | @ Boise State | W | 74 | 71.4 | |
| Dec 14, 2024 | vs Missouri State | W | 91 | 78.5 | |
| Dec 18, 2024 | @ Washington | L | 73 | 76.7 | |
| Dec 21, 2024 | vs Northern Iowa (neutral) | W | 76 | 74.8 | |
| Dec 28, 2024 | @ Portland | W | 89 | 84.8 | |
| Dec 30, 2024 | vs Loyola Marymount | W | 73 | 78.7 | |
| Jan 4, 2025 | vs San Francisco | W | 91 | 75.0 | |
| Jan 9, 2025 | vs Pacific | L | 94 | 82.6 | |
| Jan 11, 2025 | @ Gonzaga | L | 75 | 73.1 | |
| Jan 16, 2025 | @ San Diego | W | 65 | 85.5 | |
| Jan 18, 2025 | vsPortland | W | 92 | 87.5 | |
| Jan 23, 2025 | @ Santa Clara | L | 65 | 76.6 | |
| Jan 25, 2025 | vs Saint Mary's | L | 75 | 65.8 | |
| Jan 30, 2025 | @Pacific | L | 68 | 81.3 | |
| Feb 1, 2025 | @San Francisco | L | 51 | 74.4 | |
| Feb 6, 2025 | @ Oregon State | L | 74 | 74.2 | |
| Feb 8, 2025 | vs Pepperdine | W | 87 | 84.4 | |
| Feb 15, 2025 | @Saint Mary's | L | 56 | 64.0 | |
| Feb 19, 2025 | vsGonzaga | L | 63 | 76.7 | |
| Feb 22, 2025 | vsSanta Clara | L | 79 | 78.7 | |
| Feb 27, 2025 | vsSan Diego | W | 93 | 86.7 | |
| Mar 1, 2025 | @Pepperdine | W | 90 | 81.4 | |
| Mar 8, 2025 | vsLoyola Marymount (neutral) | W | 94 | 76.0 | |
| Mar 9, 2025 | vsSan Francisco (neutral) | L | 75 | 74.5 | |
| Mar 31, 2025 | vs Georgetown (neutral) | L | 82 | 74.4 | |
| Nov 3, 2025 | vs Idaho | L | 81 | 77.7 | |
| Nov 7, 2025 | @ Davidson | L | 69 | 71.1 | |
| Nov 10, 2025 | vs St. Thomas | W | 81 | 78.9 | |
| Nov 14, 2025 | vsWashington | L | 69 | 73.4 | |
| Nov 19, 2025 | vs Southern Utah | W | 98 | 85.4 | |
| Nov 24, 2025 | @CChaminade | W | 90 | — | |
| Nov 25, 2025 | vs Arizona State (neutral) | L | 94 | 74.0 | |
| Nov 26, 2025 | vs Seton Hall (neutral) | L | 61 | 65.9 | |
| Dec 2, 2025 | @ Bradley | L | 60 | 78.3 | |
| Dec 7, 2025 | vsNevada | L | 64 | 74.8 | |
| Dec 14, 2025 | @ USC | L | 61 | 76.7 | |
| Dec 17, 2025 | vs Eastern Washington (neutral) | W | 78 | 81.7 | |
| Dec 20, 2025 | vs Mercer | W | 84 | 83.3 | |
| Dec 28, 2025 | @Portland | W | 67 | 79.1 | |
| Dec 30, 2025 | @ Seattle U | L | 55 | 70.4 | |
| Jan 2, 2026 | vsLoyola Marymount | W | 78 | 76.9 | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | vsOregon State | W | 81 | 77.7 | |
| Jan 10, 2026 | @Saint Mary's | L | 82 | 64.9 | |
| Jan 15, 2026 | vsGonzaga | L | 65 | 68.5 | |
| Jan 18, 2026 | @San Francisco | L | 80 | 74.6 | |
| Jan 21, 2026 | @San Diego | L | 92 | 79.9 | |
| Jan 24, 2026 | vsPepperdine | W | 95 | 82.1 | |
| Jan 28, 2026 | vsSeattle U | W | 70 | 72.1 | |
| Jan 31, 2026 | vsPortland | W | 104 | 79.4 | |
| Feb 4, 2026 | @Oregon State | L | 64 | 76.1 | |
| Feb 7, 2026 | vsSanta Clara | L | 92 | 75.8 | |
| Feb 10, 2026 | @Gonzaga | L | 53 | 66.6 | |
| Feb 18, 2026 | vsPacific | W | 87 | 72.6 | |
| Feb 21, 2026 | vsSaint Mary's | L | 67 | 68.4 | |
| Feb 25, 2026 | @Loyola Marymount | L | 66 | 75.1 | |
| Feb 28, 2026 | @Pepperdine | L | 79 | 80.5 | |
| Mar 6, 2026 | vsPortland (neutral) | L | 68 | 80.3 | |
| Nov 2, 2026 | vsDavidson | L | 61 | NaN |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.5 in 2024-25, plus 1.4 in 2025-26, plus 0.0 in 2026-27 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 90% in 2024-25, 90% in 2025-26, NaN% in 2026-27 of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Chaminade has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.