UT Martin’s 3-pointers made at home and away
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, UT Martin was 1.3 3-pointers made under at home and 1.6 3-pointers made over away over its last 60 games, 22 games against 27. The plain averages are 7.9 and 9.9, a difference of 2.0.
UT Martin’s −2.9 at home vs away over expected ranks 364th of the 365 teams with 6 games on each side over their last 60 games.
3-pointers made a game over expected
at home
−1.3
away
+1.6
-505
A −2.9 difference in 3-pointers made over expected at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
plain
7.9
9.9
51015
A −2.0 difference in 3-pointers made at home vs away is unusual: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up 5 times in 100.
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | 3-pointers made | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2024 | @ Charleston Southern | L | 3 | 7.0 | |
| Dec 7, 2024 | vsMMontreat | W | 11 | — | |
| Dec 11, 2024 | @ Alabama State | L | 12 | 9.2 | |
| Dec 15, 2024 | vsCChampion Christian | W | 19 | — | |
| Dec 19, 2024 | @ Morehead State | L | 8 | 7.7 | |
| Dec 21, 2024 | @ Southern Indiana | W | 18 | 8.3 | |
| Jan 2, 2025 | vs Little Rock | L | 7 | 9.1 | |
| Jan 4, 2025 | vs Southeast Missouri State | W | 7 | 6.9 | |
| Jan 9, 2025 | @ Western Illinois | W | 12 | 8.3 | |
| Jan 11, 2025 | @ Lindenwood | L | 14 | 8.4 | |
| Jan 16, 2025 | vs Eastern Illinois | W | 6 | 9.6 | |
| Jan 18, 2025 | vs SIU Edwardsville | W | 12 | 8.5 | |
| Jan 21, 2025 | @ Tennessee State | L | 7 | 8.6 | |
| Jan 25, 2025 | vs Tennessee Tech | L | 10 | 8.6 | |
| Jan 30, 2025 | @Southeast Missouri State | L | 9 | 6.5 | |
| Feb 1, 2025 | @Little Rock | L | 11 | 8.7 | |
| Feb 6, 2025 | vsLindenwood | L | 3 | 9.3 | |
| Feb 8, 2025 | vsWestern Illinois | W | 7 | 8.8 | |
| Feb 13, 2025 | @SIU Edwardsville | W | 11 | 8.4 | |
| Feb 15, 2025 | @Eastern Illinois | W | 8 | 9.2 | |
| Feb 18, 2025 | vsTennessee State | L | 8 | 8.8 | |
| Feb 20, 2025 | @Tennessee Tech | L | 10 | 8.4 | |
| Feb 27, 2025 | vsSouthern Indiana | W | 9 | 9.0 | |
| Mar 1, 2025 | vsMorehead State | L | 4 | 8.1 | |
| Mar 5, 2025 | vsTennessee Tech (neutral) | W | 10 | 8.5 | |
| Mar 6, 2025 | vsLittle Rock (neutral) | L | 10 | 8.8 | |
| Nov 4, 2025 | @ UNLV | W | 11 | 6.8 | |
| Nov 9, 2025 | vsKKentucky Christian | W | 10 | — | |
| Nov 12, 2025 | @ Bradley | W | 11 | 7.8 | |
| Nov 18, 2025 | @ Florida State | L | 11 | 8.6 | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | vs Prairie View A&M (neutral) | W | 4 | 8.0 | |
| Nov 23, 2025 | vs Southern Miss (neutral) | L | 7 | 7.8 | |
| Nov 25, 2025 | vsBBrescia | W | 6 | — | |
| Dec 2, 2025 | vsCharleston Southern | W | 8 | 6.8 | |
| Dec 7, 2025 | vsAlabama State | W | 9 | 8.7 | |
| Dec 10, 2025 | @ Southern Illinois | L | 8 | 7.1 | |
| Dec 14, 2025 | vsCChampion Christian | W | 12 | — | |
| Dec 18, 2025 | @Tennessee State | L | 4 | 8.0 | |
| Dec 20, 2025 | @Tennessee Tech | W | 13 | 8.3 | |
| Jan 1, 2026 | vsWestern Illinois | W | 2 | 8.7 | |
| Jan 3, 2026 | vsEastern Illinois | W | 7 | 8.1 | |
| Jan 8, 2026 | @Morehead State | W | 8 | 8.9 | |
| Jan 10, 2026 | @Southern Indiana | W | 7 | 6.7 | |
| Jan 15, 2026 | vsSIU Edwardsville | W | 8 | 7.7 | |
| Jan 17, 2026 | vsLindenwood | W | 7 | 7.4 | |
| Jan 20, 2026 | @Southeast Missouri State | L | 5 | 6.9 | |
| Jan 29, 2026 | @Eastern Illinois | W | 11 | 7.7 | |
| Jan 31, 2026 | @Western Illinois | W | 9 | 8.1 | |
| Feb 3, 2026 | vsLittle Rock | W | 10 | 9.1 | |
| Feb 5, 2026 | vsSouthern Indiana | W | 11 | 6.7 | |
| Feb 7, 2026 | vsMorehead State | L | 6 | 9.2 | |
| Feb 12, 2026 | @Lindenwood | L | 9 | 7.1 | |
| Feb 14, 2026 | @SIU Edwardsville | W | 11 | 7.3 | |
| Feb 17, 2026 | vsSoutheast Missouri State | L | 4 | 7.2 | |
| Feb 19, 2026 | @Little Rock | L | 10 | 8.9 | |
| Feb 26, 2026 | vsTennessee Tech | W | 6 | 8.9 | |
| Feb 28, 2026 | vsTennessee State | L | 4 | 8.2 | |
| Mar 5, 2026 | vsEastern Illinois (neutral) | W | 8 | 7.9 | |
| Mar 6, 2026 | vsTennessee State (neutral) | L | 8 | 7.9 | |
| Nov 2, 2026 | @ Tulane | L | 17 | 17.0 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.1 in 2024-25, plus 0.1 in 2025-26, plus 0.0 in 2026-27 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 82% in 2024-25, 85% in 2025-26, 100% in 2026-27 of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Montreat, Champion Christian, Kentucky Christian, Brescia, Champion Christian have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.