Kansas’ points at home and away
, ,
Against what the season’s ratings expected, Kansas was NaN points over at home and 4.5 points under away over its last 60 games, 27 games against 21. The plain averages are 81.0 and 69.8, a difference of 11.3.
Kansas’ NaN at home vs away over expected ranks 1st of the 365 teams with 6 games on each side over their last 60 games.
points a game over expected
at home
NaN
away
−4.5
A NaN difference in points over expected at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
plain
81.0
69.8
6080100
A +11.3 difference in points at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024 | vs Brown | W | 87 | 81.8 | |
| Dec 31, 2024 | vs West Virginia | L | 61 | 70.9 | |
| Jan 5, 2025 | @ UCF | W | 99 | 81.6 | |
| Jan 8, 2025 | vs Arizona State | W | 74 | 79.8 | |
| Jan 11, 2025 | @ Cincinnati | W | 54 | 70.3 | |
| Jan 15, 2025 | @ Iowa State | L | 57 | 71.7 | |
| Jan 18, 2025 | vs Kansas State | W | 84 | 75.2 | |
| Jan 22, 2025 | @ TCU | W | 74 | 70.8 | |
| Jan 25, 2025 | vs Houston | L | 86 | 62.5 | |
| Jan 28, 2025 | vsUCF | W | 91 | 84.9 | |
| Feb 1, 2025 | @ Baylor | L | 70 | 71.9 | |
| Feb 3, 2025 | vsIowa State | W | 69 | 74.0 | |
| Feb 8, 2025 | @Kansas State | L | 73 | 72.9 | |
| Feb 11, 2025 | vs Colorado | W | 71 | 77.4 | |
| Feb 15, 2025 | @ Utah | L | 67 | 76.7 | |
| Feb 18, 2025 | @ BYU | L | 57 | 76.3 | |
| Feb 22, 2025 | vs Oklahoma State | W | 96 | 80.7 | |
| Feb 24, 2025 | @Colorado | W | 71 | 74.5 | |
| Mar 1, 2025 | vs Texas Tech | L | 73 | 74.4 | |
| Mar 3, 2025 | @Houston | L | 59 | 61.0 | |
| Mar 8, 2025 | vs Arizona | W | 83 | 76.7 | |
| Mar 12, 2025 | vsUCF (neutral) | W | 98 | 83.1 | |
| Mar 13, 2025 | vsArizona (neutral) | L | 77 | 75.6 | |
| Mar 20, 2025 | vs Arkansas (neutral) | L | 72 | 74.1 | |
| Nov 3, 2025 | vs Green Bay | W | 94 | 82.2 | |
| Nov 7, 2025 | @ North Carolina | L | 74 | 73.1 | |
| Nov 11, 2025 | vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | W | 77 | 78.7 | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | vs Princeton | W | 76 | 81.5 | |
| Nov 18, 2025 | vs Duke (neutral) | L | 66 | 66.0 | |
| Nov 24, 2025 | vs Notre Dame (neutral) | W | 71 | 79.0 | |
| Nov 25, 2025 | vs Syracuse (neutral) | W | 71 | 78.9 | |
| Nov 26, 2025 | vs Tennessee (neutral) | W | 81 | 68.4 | |
| Dec 2, 2025 | vs UConn | L | 56 | 69.5 | |
| Dec 7, 2025 | vs Missouri (neutral) | W | 80 | 76.4 | |
| Dec 13, 2025 | @ NC State | W | 77 | 77.4 | |
| Dec 16, 2025 | vs Towson | W | 73 | 76.1 | |
| Dec 22, 2025 | vs Davidson | W | 90 | 76.2 | |
| Jan 3, 2026 | @UCF | L | 75 | 79.3 | |
| Jan 6, 2026 | vsTCU | W | 104 | 73.7 | |
| Jan 10, 2026 | @West Virginia | L | 75 | 67.9 | |
| Jan 13, 2026 | vsIowa State | W | 84 | 69.4 | |
| Jan 16, 2026 | vsBaylor | W | 80 | 79.7 | |
| Jan 20, 2026 | @Colorado | W | 75 | 80.3 | |
| Jan 24, 2026 | @Kansas State | W | 86 | 81.9 | |
| Jan 31, 2026 | vsBYU | W | 90 | 78.3 | |
| Feb 2, 2026 | @Texas Tech | W | 64 | 71.8 | |
| Feb 7, 2026 | vsUtah | W | 71 | 82.2 | |
| Feb 9, 2026 | vsArizona | W | 82 | 71.0 | |
| Feb 14, 2026 | @Iowa State | L | 56 | 68.3 | |
| Feb 18, 2026 | @Oklahoma State | W | 81 | 83.6 | |
| Feb 21, 2026 | vsCincinnati | L | 68 | 72.2 | |
| Feb 23, 2026 | vsHouston | W | 69 | 65.4 | |
| Feb 28, 2026 | @Arizona | L | 61 | 69.5 | |
| Mar 3, 2026 | @Arizona State | L | 60 | 78.5 | |
| Mar 7, 2026 | vsKansas State | W | 104 | 83.5 | |
| Mar 12, 2026 | vsTCU (neutral) | W | 78 | 73.8 | |
| Mar 13, 2026 | vsHouston (neutral) | L | 47 | 65.3 | |
| Mar 20, 2026 | vs California Baptist (neutral) | W | 68 | 76.2 | |
| Mar 22, 2026 | vs St. John's (neutral) | L | 65 | 72.7 | |
| Nov 2, 2026 | vs Fordham | W | 95 | NaN |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.5 in 2024-25, plus 1.4 in 2025-26, plus 0.0 in 2026-27 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 90% in 2024-25, 90% in 2025-26, NaN% in 2026-27 of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.