Jacksonville State’s free throw attempts at home and away
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Jacksonville State was 3.2 free throw attempts under at home and 2.7 free throw attempts over away over its last 60 games, 24 games against 26. The plain averages are 20.0 and 22.8, a difference of 2.8.
Jacksonville State’s −6.0 at home vs away over expected ranks 104th of the 365 teams with 6 games on each side over their last 60 games.
free throw attempts a game over expected
at home
−3.2
away
+2.7
020
A −6.0 difference in free throw attempts over expected at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
plain
20.0
22.8
2040
A −2.8 difference in free throw attempts at home vs away is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up 13 times in 100.
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | free throw attempts | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | vs Utah Valley | W | 20 | 17.9 | |
| Dec 17, 2024 | @ Missouri | L | 13 | 17.8 | |
| Dec 21, 2024 | @ Eastern Kentucky | W | 22 | 18.4 | |
| Dec 30, 2024 | vsFFort Valley State | W | 25 | — | |
| Jan 4, 2025 | @ Kennesaw State | L | 28 | 22.4 | |
| Jan 9, 2025 | @ Western Kentucky | W | 20 | 21.3 | |
| Jan 11, 2025 | @ Middle Tennessee | L | 23 | 17.6 | |
| Jan 16, 2025 | vs Louisiana Tech | W | 8 | 19.0 | |
| Jan 18, 2025 | vs Sam Houston | W | 22 | 19.3 | |
| Jan 23, 2025 | @ UTEP | W | 18 | 19.8 | |
| Jan 25, 2025 | @ New Mexico State | W | 12 | 19.7 | |
| Jan 30, 2025 | vs Florida International | W | 21 | 20.6 | |
| Feb 1, 2025 | vs Liberty | W | 14 | 15.6 | |
| Feb 6, 2025 | vsMiddle Tennessee | W | 8 | 19.8 | |
| Feb 8, 2025 | vsWestern Kentucky | W | 19 | 22.9 | |
| Feb 13, 2025 | @Sam Houston | L | 7 | 18.7 | |
| Feb 15, 2025 | @Louisiana Tech | W | 30 | 16.3 | |
| Feb 20, 2025 | vsNew Mexico State | L | 20 | 20.7 | |
| Feb 22, 2025 | vsUTEP | W | 22 | 21.0 | |
| Feb 27, 2025 | @Liberty | L | 9 | 14.4 | |
| Mar 1, 2025 | @Florida International | W | 29 | 18.7 | |
| Mar 8, 2025 | vsKennesaw State | L | 17 | 24.5 | |
| Mar 12, 2025 | vsFlorida International (neutral) | W | 20 | 19.9 | |
| Mar 14, 2025 | vsMiddle Tennessee (neutral) | W | 20 | 18.4 | |
| Mar 15, 2025 | vsLiberty (neutral) | L | 25 | 14.3 | |
| Mar 18, 2025 | @ Georgia Tech | W | 8 | 16.5 | |
| Mar 23, 2025 | @ UC Irvine | L | 22 | 13.7 | |
| Nov 3, 2025 | vsOOakwood | W | 34 | — | |
| Nov 10, 2025 | vsRReinhardt | W | 24 | — | |
| Nov 14, 2025 | vs Coastal Carolina | W | 23 | 23.0 | |
| Nov 19, 2025 | vs South Alabama | L | 4 | 18.9 | |
| Nov 24, 2025 | @ Arkansas State | L | 29 | 22.8 | |
| Nov 26, 2025 | vs North Dakota State (neutral) | L | 23 | 17.9 | |
| Dec 1, 2025 | vs North Alabama | L | 20 | 21.5 | |
| Dec 7, 2025 | vsAAuburn Montgomery | W | 20 | — | |
| Dec 13, 2025 | @ Georgia State | L | 20 | 21.4 | |
| Dec 17, 2025 | vsEastern Kentucky | L | 25 | 24.7 | |
| Dec 20, 2025 | @ East Tennessee State | W | 27 | 19.8 | |
| Dec 29, 2025 | vsWestern Kentucky | W | 39 | 27.1 | |
| Jan 2, 2026 | @ Delaware | W | 26 | 18.6 | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | @Liberty | L | 19 | 16.5 | |
| Jan 7, 2026 | vsFlorida International | W | 20 | 24.4 | |
| Jan 10, 2026 | @Kennesaw State | L | 27 | 27.7 | |
| Jan 14, 2026 | vsSam Houston | L | 19 | 23.8 | |
| Jan 17, 2026 | vsLouisiana Tech | W | 18 | 22.7 | |
| Jan 23, 2026 | vsMiddle Tennessee | W | 19 | 23.0 | |
| Jan 28, 2026 | @Florida International | W | 32 | 22.1 | |
| Jan 31, 2026 | @ Missouri State | L | 27 | 23.0 | |
| Feb 5, 2026 | @Western Kentucky | W | 50 | 24.9 | |
| Feb 7, 2026 | vsKennesaw State | W | 24 | 29.4 | |
| Feb 11, 2026 | vsUTEP | L | 14 | 25.4 | |
| Feb 14, 2026 | vsNew Mexico State | L | 19 | 26.8 | |
| Feb 18, 2026 | @Louisiana Tech | L | 22 | 20.9 | |
| Feb 21, 2026 | @Sam Houston | L | 18 | 22.3 | |
| Feb 26, 2026 | vsDelaware | W | 18 | 20.7 | |
| Feb 28, 2026 | vsLiberty | L | 20 | 18.1 | |
| Mar 5, 2026 | @New Mexico State | L | 34 | 24.3 | |
| Mar 7, 2026 | @UTEP | W | 22 | 23.3 | |
| Mar 10, 2026 | vsNew Mexico State (neutral) | L | 20 | 25.9 | |
| Nov 2, 2026 | vsLLaGrange | W | 25 | — |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.9 in 2024-25, plus 0.9 in 2025-26, plus 0.0 in 2026-27 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 79% in 2024-25, 80% in 2025-26, NaN% in 2026-27 of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Fort Valley State, Oakwood, Reinhardt, Auburn Montgomery, LaGrange have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.