Jacksonville State’s free throw attempts at home and away
, ,
Against what the season’s ratings expected, Jacksonville State was 3.4 free throw attempts under at home and 5.0 free throw attempts over away in 2025-26, 14 games against 13. The plain averages are 21.2 and 27.2, a difference of 6.0.
Jacksonville State’s −8.4 at home vs away over expected ranks 365th of the 365 teams with 6 games on each side in 2025-26.
free throw attempts a game over expected
at home
−3.4
away
+5.0
020
A −8.4 difference in free throw attempts over expected at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
plain
21.2
27.2
2040
A −6.0 difference in free throw attempts at home vs away is unusual: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up 4 times in 100.
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | free throw attempts | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | vsOOakwood | W | 34 | — | |
| Nov 10, 2025 | vsRReinhardt | W | 24 | — | |
| Nov 14, 2025 | vs Coastal Carolina | W | 23 | 23.0 | |
| Nov 19, 2025 | vs South Alabama | L | 4 | 18.9 | |
| Nov 24, 2025 | @ Arkansas State | L | 29 | 22.8 | |
| Nov 26, 2025 | vs North Dakota State (neutral) | L | 23 | 17.9 | |
| Dec 1, 2025 | vs North Alabama | L | 20 | 21.5 | |
| Dec 7, 2025 | vsAAuburn Montgomery | W | 20 | — | |
| Dec 13, 2025 | @ Georgia State | L | 20 | 21.4 | |
| Dec 17, 2025 | vs Eastern Kentucky | L | 25 | 24.7 | |
| Dec 20, 2025 | @ East Tennessee State | W | 27 | 19.8 | |
| Dec 29, 2025 | vs Western Kentucky | W | 39 | 27.1 | |
| Jan 2, 2026 | @ Delaware | W | 26 | 18.6 | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | @ Liberty | L | 19 | 16.5 | |
| Jan 7, 2026 | vs Florida International | W | 20 | 24.4 | |
| Jan 10, 2026 | @ Kennesaw State | L | 27 | 27.7 | |
| Jan 14, 2026 | vs Sam Houston | L | 19 | 23.8 | |
| Jan 17, 2026 | vs Louisiana Tech | W | 18 | 22.7 | |
| Jan 23, 2026 | vs Middle Tennessee | W | 19 | 23.0 | |
| Jan 28, 2026 | @Florida International | W | 32 | 22.1 | |
| Jan 31, 2026 | @ Missouri State | L | 27 | 23.0 | |
| Feb 5, 2026 | @Western Kentucky | W | 50 | 24.9 | |
| Feb 7, 2026 | vsKennesaw State | W | 24 | 29.4 | |
| Feb 11, 2026 | vs UTEP | L | 14 | 25.4 | |
| Feb 14, 2026 | vs New Mexico State | L | 19 | 26.8 | |
| Feb 18, 2026 | @Louisiana Tech | L | 22 | 20.9 | |
| Feb 21, 2026 | @Sam Houston | L | 18 | 22.3 | |
| Feb 26, 2026 | vsDelaware | W | 18 | 20.7 | |
| Feb 28, 2026 | vsLiberty | L | 20 | 18.1 | |
| Mar 5, 2026 | @New Mexico State | L | 34 | 24.3 | |
| Mar 7, 2026 | @UTEP | W | 22 | 23.3 | |
| Mar 10, 2026 | vsNew Mexico State (neutral) | L | 20 | 25.9 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2025-26 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.9 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 80% of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Oakwood, Reinhardt, Auburn Montgomery have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.