Evansville’s free throw attempts at home and away
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Through Evansville’s game on Mar 5, 2026.
Against what the season’s ratings expected, Evansville was 2.5 free throw attempts over at home and 6.6 free throw attempts under away in 2025-26, 13 games against 13. The plain averages are 20.0 and 10.2, a difference of 9.8.
Evansville’s +9.0 at home vs away over expected ranks 2nd of the 365 teams with 6 games on each side in 2025-26 through Mar 5.
free throw attempts a game over expected
at home
+2.5
away
−6.6
-10010
A +9.0 difference in free throw attempts over expected at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
plain
20.0
10.2
102030
A +9.8 difference in free throw attempts at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | free throw attempts | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | @ Purdue | L | 4 | 11.5 | |
| Nov 7, 2025 | vsCCalumet St. Joseph | W | 8 | — | |
| Nov 9, 2025 | vsOOakland City | W | 28 | — | |
| Nov 12, 2025 | vs Middle Tennessee | L | 24 | 18.6 | |
| Nov 18, 2025 | vs UT Arlington | L | 31 | 19.7 | |
| Nov 21, 2025 | vs Oregon State (neutral) | W | 35 | 18.3 | |
| Nov 23, 2025 | vs Akron (neutral) | L | 23 | 16.0 | |
| Nov 24, 2025 | vs Charleston (neutral) | L | 18 | 14.2 | |
| Dec 3, 2025 | vs Ball State | W | 18 | 16.4 | |
| Dec 6, 2025 | @ Western Kentucky | L | 23 | 22.4 | |
| Dec 13, 2025 | @ Notre Dame | L | 13 | 17.5 | |
| Dec 16, 2025 | vs Belmont | L | 24 | 17.3 | |
| Dec 21, 2025 | vs Drake | L | 22 | 18.0 | |
| Dec 29, 2025 | @ Bradley | L | 14 | 19.0 | |
| Jan 1, 2026 | @ Illinois State | L | 13 | 15.4 | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | vs Northern Iowa | L | 13 | 15.0 | |
| Jan 7, 2026 | vs Murray State | L | 19 | 19.2 | |
| Jan 10, 2026 | @ Indiana State | W | 4 | 16.1 | |
| Jan 13, 2026 | vsBradley | L | 31 | 19.6 | |
| Jan 20, 2026 | @ UIC | L | 12 | 16.6 | |
| Jan 28, 2026 | @Drake | L | 12 | 17.0 | |
| Jan 31, 2026 | @Northern Iowa | L | 7 | 13.7 | |
| Feb 3, 2026 | vsIndiana State | L | 17 | 16.9 | |
| Feb 6, 2026 | @ Valparaiso | L | 11 | 17.6 | |
| Feb 9, 2026 | vsIllinois State | W | 19 | 16.7 | |
| Feb 12, 2026 | @ Southern Illinois | L | 4 | 16.5 | |
| Feb 18, 2026 | vsUIC | L | 8 | 18.4 | |
| Feb 21, 2026 | @Murray State | L | 6 | 18.4 | |
| Feb 25, 2026 | @Belmont | L | 10 | 16.5 | |
| Feb 28, 2026 | vsValparaiso | W | 22 | 18.6 | |
| Mar 1, 2026 | vsSouthern Illinois | L | 16 | 17.5 | |
| Mar 5, 2026 | vsNorthern Iowa (neutral) | L | 15 | 14.1 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2025-26 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.9 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 80% of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Calumet St. Joseph, Oakland City have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.