Denver’s 3-pointers made at home and away
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Through Denver’s game on Mar 6, 2026.
Against what the season’s ratings expected, Denver was 2.2 3-pointers made over at home and 1.1 3-pointers made under away in 2025-26, 11 games against 17. The plain averages are 11.2 and 7.1, a difference of 4.2.
Denver’s +3.3 at home vs away over expected ranks 3rd of the 365 teams with 6 games on each side in 2025-26 through Mar 6.
3-pointers made a game over expected
at home
+2.2
away
−1.1
0
A +3.3 difference in 3-pointers made over expected at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
plain
11.2
7.1
510
A +4.2 difference in 3-pointers made at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | 3-pointers made | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | @ Seattle U | L | 8 | 7.1 | |
| Nov 6, 2025 | @ Washington | L | 8 | 7.7 | |
| Nov 9, 2025 | @ Montana State | W | 5 | 7.1 | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | vs UTSA | L | 13 | 10.2 | |
| Nov 21, 2025 | @ Colorado State | W | 10 | 8.2 | |
| Nov 24, 2025 | @ Arizona | L | 9 | 7.4 | |
| Nov 26, 2025 | @ Wyoming | L | 3 | 7.1 | |
| Dec 3, 2025 | vs Eastern Washington | W | 11 | 8.0 | |
| Dec 6, 2025 | @ Idaho State | L | 5 | 7.6 | |
| Dec 9, 2025 | vsCColorado Christian | W | 8 | — | |
| Dec 11, 2025 | vsAAlaska Anchorage | W | 14 | — | |
| Dec 13, 2025 | vs Cal State Fullerton | L | 10 | 10.1 | |
| Dec 16, 2025 | vsCColorado Colorado Springs | W | 13 | — | |
| Dec 20, 2025 | @ Northern Colorado | W | 8 | 6.7 | |
| Dec 22, 2025 | @ Tulsa | L | 6 | 8.9 | |
| Dec 31, 2025 | vs Kansas City | W | 8 | 9.7 | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | @ St. Thomas | L | 8 | 8.1 | |
| Jan 8, 2026 | @ South Dakota State | L | 9 | 9.6 | |
| Jan 10, 2026 | @ South Dakota | L | 5 | 7.1 | |
| Jan 14, 2026 | vs Oral Roberts | W | 12 | 8.2 | |
| Jan 22, 2026 | vs North Dakota State | L | 12 | 9.0 | |
| Jan 24, 2026 | vs North Dakota | L | 12 | 8.7 | |
| Jan 28, 2026 | @Kansas City | W | 5 | 9.7 | |
| Jan 31, 2026 | vs Omaha | L | 12 | 9.2 | |
| Feb 5, 2026 | @North Dakota State | W | 6 | 9.2 | |
| Feb 7, 2026 | @North Dakota | W | 9 | 8.8 | |
| Feb 12, 2026 | vsSouth Dakota State | W | 12 | 9.6 | |
| Feb 15, 2026 | @Omaha | L | 8 | 9.3 | |
| Feb 19, 2026 | vsSouth Dakota | W | 9 | 7.0 | |
| Feb 21, 2026 | vsSt. Thomas | W | 11 | 8.1 | |
| Feb 26, 2026 | @Oral Roberts | L | 8 | 8.3 | |
| Mar 6, 2026 | vsNorth Dakota (neutral) | L | 6 | 9.0 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2025-26 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 85% of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Colorado Christian, Alaska Anchorage, Colorado Colorado Springs have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.