Brown’s 3-point attempts at home and away
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Brown was NaN 3-point attempts over at home and 2.1 3-point attempts under away over its last 60 games, 28 games against 27. The plain averages are 25.3 and 20.6, a difference of 4.7. Both ranked opponents were away. Both top-10 opponents were away.
Brown’s NaN at home vs away over expected ranks 1st of the 365 teams with 6 games on each side over their last 60 games.
3-point attempts a game over expected
at home
NaN
away
−2.1
A NaN difference in 3-point attempts over expected at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
plain
25.3
20.6
2030
A +4.7 difference in 3-point attempts at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | 3-point attempts | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024 | vs Harvard | W | 20 | 25.2 | |
| Mar 2, 2024 | vs Dartmouth | W | 29 | 23.9 | |
| Mar 9, 2024 | @ Yale | W | 25 | 23.0 | |
| Mar 16, 2024 | vs Princeton (neutral) | W | 22 | 22.0 | |
| Mar 17, 2024 | vsYale (neutral) | L | 25 | 23.1 | |
| Nov 4, 2024 | @ Siena | L | 22 | 19.9 | |
| Nov 10, 2024 | vs Maine | L | 20 | 20.7 | |
| Nov 15, 2024 | vs New Hampshire | W | 28 | 23.6 | |
| Nov 16, 2024 | vs Holy Cross | L | 29 | 22.1 | |
| Nov 17, 2024 | vs Sacred Heart | W | 32 | 26.3 | |
| Nov 23, 2024 | @ Canisius | W | 23 | 24.6 | |
| Nov 27, 2024 | vs Stony Brook | W | 33 | 25.4 | |
| Dec 3, 2024 | @ Vermont | W | 21 | 22.6 | |
| Dec 6, 2024 | @ Bryant | W | 15 | 25.0 | |
| Dec 10, 2024 | vs Rhode Island | W | 24 | 25.3 | |
| Dec 22, 2024 | @ Kansas | L | 33 | 24.9 | |
| Dec 31, 2024 | @ Kentucky | L | 21 | 27.2 | |
| Jan 5, 2025 | vsJJohnson & Wales | W | 34 | — | |
| Jan 11, 2025 | @Yale | L | 22 | 27.0 | |
| Jan 18, 2025 | vsHarvard | L | 26 | 20.5 | |
| Jan 20, 2025 | @ Cornell | W | 16 | 24.2 | |
| Jan 25, 2025 | vsDartmouth | L | 39 | 22.9 | |
| Jan 31, 2025 | @ Pennsylvania | W | 24 | 23.7 | |
| Feb 1, 2025 | @Princeton | L | 27 | 21.9 | |
| Feb 8, 2025 | @ Columbia | L | 14 | 26.2 | |
| Feb 14, 2025 | vsPrinceton | W | 21 | 22.6 | |
| Feb 15, 2025 | vsPennsylvania | W | 17 | 24.4 | |
| Feb 21, 2025 | vsColumbia | W | 31 | 25.1 | |
| Feb 22, 2025 | vsCornell | L | 21 | 24.0 | |
| Feb 28, 2025 | @Harvard | W | 15 | 21.1 | |
| Mar 1, 2025 | @Dartmouth | L | 21 | 24.1 | |
| Mar 8, 2025 | vsYale | L | 30 | 26.7 | |
| Nov 7, 2025 | vsSiena | L | 24 | 21.3 | |
| Nov 9, 2025 | vsVermont | L | 28 | 21.1 | |
| Nov 12, 2025 | @ Boston University | L | 24 | 21.5 | |
| Nov 14, 2025 | vs Hampton | L | 19 | 17.8 | |
| Nov 18, 2025 | vsHoly Cross | W | 27 | 19.8 | |
| Nov 20, 2025 | @Stony Brook | L | 19 | 23.5 | |
| Nov 23, 2025 | @Maine | W | 17 | 19.4 | |
| Nov 26, 2025 | @New Hampshire | W | 19 | 20.2 | |
| Dec 2, 2025 | @Rhode Island | L | 16 | 20.7 | |
| Dec 5, 2025 | vsBryant | W | 22 | 19.8 | |
| Dec 6, 2025 | vsEElms | W | 33 | — | |
| Dec 9, 2025 | @ Providence | L | 21 | 23.5 | |
| Dec 31, 2025 | vsJJohnson & Wales | W | 32 | — | |
| Jan 5, 2026 | vsYale | L | 30 | 23.5 | |
| Jan 10, 2026 | @Pennsylvania | L | 20 | 21.8 | |
| Jan 17, 2026 | vsColumbia | W | 13 | 19.3 | |
| Jan 19, 2026 | vsCornell | L | 19 | 22.4 | |
| Jan 24, 2026 | @Princeton | L | 20 | 21.2 | |
| Jan 30, 2026 | vsHarvard | L | 20 | 19.7 | |
| Jan 31, 2026 | vsDartmouth | L | 27 | 21.7 | |
| Feb 6, 2026 | @Yale | L | 25 | 23.7 | |
| Feb 13, 2026 | @Harvard | L | 18 | 19.8 | |
| Feb 14, 2026 | @Dartmouth | W | 22 | 22.0 | |
| Feb 20, 2026 | vsPrinceton | W | 18 | 21.5 | |
| Feb 27, 2026 | @Columbia | L | 14 | 19.1 | |
| Feb 28, 2026 | @Cornell | L | 23 | 21.9 | |
| Mar 6, 2026 | vsPennsylvania | L | 19 | 22.0 | |
| Nov 2, 2026 | vsNew Hampshire | L | 19 | NaN |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.0 in 2023-24, plus 0.1 in 2024-25, plus 0.1 in 2025-26, plus 0.0 in 2026-27 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 91% in 2023-24, 91% in 2024-25, 92% in 2025-26, NaN% in 2026-27 of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Johnson & Wales, Elms, Johnson & Wales have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.