Brandon Benjamin’s points in the first half of the season and in the second half of the season
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Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed forwards, Brandon Benjamin was 2.6 points under in the first half of the season and 1.9 points over in the second half of the season in 2026-27, 1 game against 2. The plain averages are 8.0 and 7.0, a difference of 1.0. Expected was 5.5 points higher in the first half of the season than in the second half of the season.
One game in the first half of the season is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points a game over expected
in the first half of the season
−2.6
in the second half of the season
+1.9
05
plain
8.0
7.0
46810
The games
in the first half of the seasonin the second half of the season
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | vs Wagner | W | 8 | 10.6 | |
| Nov 6, 2026 | vs Massachusetts (neutral) | W | 10 | 2.8 | |
| Nov 10, 2026 | vs Maryland Eastern Shore | W | 4 | 7.4 |
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Method
- Expected is what the opponent allowed forwards in its other 2026-27 games, plus 3.7 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for forwards that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s forwards’ points in his games, 29%.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 78% of the difference the model predicts.