1. FC Union Berlin
1–4–3 · Drew with FC Cologne 1–1, Nov 1
Next: at SC Freiburg, Sun, Nov 8 · analysis
Against the closing odds
1. FC Union Berlin has beaten the odds in all of its last 4, by 0.77 goals a game. Over the season it’s 0.65 a game under, 95th of 110.
last 4
+0.77
before
−2.07
-20
Oct 10, 2026 vs SV Elversberg +0.91
Oct 17, 2026 vs Borussia Dortmund +1.20
Oct 24, 2026 @ FC Augsburg +0.87
Nov 1, 2026 vs FC Cologne +0.09
Lately
- Won 3 of its last 10count
May 10, 2026 @ Mainz +2- May 16, 2026 vs FC Augsburg +4
Aug 29 vs Eintracht Frankfurt 0
Sep 5 @ Bayer Leverkusen −4
Sep 11 vs Schalke 04 −2
Sep 18 @ Bayern Munich −7- Oct 10 vs SV Elversberg +1
- Oct 17 vs Borussia Dortmund 0
- Oct 24 @ FC Augsburg 0
- Nov 1 vs FC Cologne 0
- Lost 3 of its last 10count
- May 10, 2026 @ Mainz +2
- May 16, 2026 vs FC Augsburg +4
- Aug 29 vs Eintracht Frankfurt 0
- Sep 5 @ Bayer Leverkusen −4
- Sep 11 vs Schalke 04 −2
- Sep 18 @ Bayern Munich −7
- Oct 10 vs SV Elversberg +1
- Oct 17 vs Borussia Dortmund 0
- Oct 24 @ FC Augsburg 0
- Nov 1 vs FC Cologne 0
- Won 2 of its last 10 at homecount
Mar 8, 2026 vs Werder Bremen −3
Apr 5, 2026 vs St. Pauli 0
Apr 18, 2026 vs VfL Wolfsburg −1- May 2, 2026 vs FC Cologne 0
- May 16, 2026 vs FC Augsburg +4
- Aug 29 vs Eintracht Frankfurt 0
- Sep 11 vs Schalke 04 −2
- Oct 10 vs SV Elversberg +1
- Oct 17 vs Borussia Dortmund 0
- Nov 1 vs FC Cologne 0
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | −0.77 · 87th | +0.69 · 89th |
| Expected goals | −0.38 · 82nd | +0.23 · 73rd |
| Shots | −4.0 · 92nd | +1.9 · 75th |
| Points | −0.49 · 79th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.