Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Leon Goretzka’s goals at home and away

, ,

Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed midfielders, Leon Goretzka was 0.00 goals over at home and 0.00 goals over away in 2026-27, 4 games against 1. The plain averages are 0.00 and 0.00, a difference of 0.00. Both Champions League games were at home.

One game away is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

goals a game over expected

The games

at homeaway
Leon Goretzka’s games, 2026-27, each marked at home or away
SideDateGameResultgoalsExpected
Oct 14, 2026vsFenerbahceW00.00
Oct 17, 2026@Newcastle UnitedW00.00
Oct 21, 2026vsViking FKW00.00
Oct 24, 2026vsManchester CityW00.00
Oct 31, 2026vsFulhamT00.00

Method

  • Expected is what the opponent allowed midfielders in its other 2026-27 games, plus 0.10 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for midfielders that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s midfielders’ goals in his games, 0%.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 68% of the difference the model predicts.