Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Joachim Andersen’s goals at home and away

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Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed defenders, Joachim Andersen was 0.00 goals over at home and 0.00 goals over away in 2026-27, 2 games against 1. The plain averages are 0.00 and 0.00, a difference of 0.00.

One game away is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

goals a game over expected

The games

at homeaway
Joachim Andersen’s games, 2026-27, each marked at home or away
SideDateGameResultgoalsExpected
Aug 30, 2026@SunderlandL00.00
Sep 5, 2026vsCrystal PalaceL00.00
Sep 20, 2026vsManchester UnitedT00.00

Method

  • Expected is what the opponent allowed defenders in its other 2026-27 games, plus 0.01 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for defenders that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s defenders’ goals in his games, 0%.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 82% of the difference the model predicts.